07/08/2010 11:00PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday July 10th


We're back from a whirlwind trip to Argentina where we took in their Breeders' Cup (Estrellas) and analyzed many horses along the way. You've got to go someday. On the home front, the 2009 BreezeFigs for 3YOs ended at the end of the month, and the 2010 BreezeFigs piled up 15 2–year–old winners in the past two weeks with maiden races finally starting to fill across the country. Our selection before we left of Serendipper Moon at Philadelphia Park wasn't a total loss as he finished second in what may turn out to be a key race. Today's card is loaded with races from Calder, but we have selected another track with an intriguing maiden race for you to contemplate below. Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2010 sales sheets have a major addition in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF–PUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2–year–old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer–than–average stride lengths at the five major 2–year–old sales of 2006–07–08–09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black–type, than horses with shorter–than–average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3–year–old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2–year–old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs Information, and then download "2006 Sales Study," or just click right

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: .

Here's our maiden selection from today's BreezeFigs card. Good luck!

Ellis Park, 4th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf)

We love babies on the weeds sprinting early in their careers and this race on the opening day card at Ellis Park, which has a really nice turf course for these types of events, features two contentious BreezeFigs first–time starters with remarkably similar profiles. Both Conservative Value and Biogio's Legend come out of KEEAPR where they were both RNA'd (not sold) for 37k and 95k, respectively. Both breezed an eighth on Polytrack with Conservative Value posting a two–over–Par, Group 2 profile with a 24.10 foot stride length-1.37 feet longer than average that day. He is bred to fly, and he has solid turf breeding on the top side, so he should be one of your keys. Biogio's Legend had a Group 3, one–under–Par profile where he posted a 22.80 foot stride length, just a bit over the average for that day, but there is more here: He is owned by his breeder and he is out of a great turf mare, so maybe he wanted grass at Keeneland. Then again, maybe not. He is a definite gimmick play, and if you see the odds drifting in his favor, take a shot with him, too. Good luck!