01/28/2011 11:19AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday January 29th


Our Pix last week were reasonable enough considering that one (Pink Lollipops) had too much trouble to overcome in a short race, and the other (Jaredella) stuck in there to be third despite a very wide trip. Still, no cigar in a week where very few races actually were run due to the weather, or others were devastated because of the rain. Interestingly, the biggest payoff came from a maiden who was dropped into a non-winners-of-two claiming race on Wednesday night at Delta Downs. That would be Lady Exploit, a Group 2 filly at OBSAPR who dropped down from maiden special company to score at 16-to-1. Sometimes these things sneak in on you. This week, we're not sure our Pick is going to catch anyone by surprise, but we're going to highlight it any way, below. Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2010 sales sheets have a major addition in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download "2006 Sales Study," or just click right here.

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.

Here's our Pick for Saturday:

Aqueduct, 2nd Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Inner Dirt)

There are only six in this open field, and three of them are BreezeFigs colts who were quite impressive at their respective sales last year. Of them, The Fed Eased (from that wonderful outfit which details the history of the country's financial plight in naming its horses), has already started and will likely be favored off his very good debut. This was a 65k RNA at OBSFEB where he was even Par with a 23.68 foot SL, just over a quarter foot longer than average for colts that day. The other two are both making their debuts, and the one with the better numbers, Not Now Ashley, may need two turns but he is definitely a quality horse. He threw in a four-over-Par Group 1 profile at OBSMAR with a 24.19 foot SL, more than a half-foot longer than average for that day. But he's a Tiznow and they are big, so he may need the trip. The other, Quick to Strike, had a one-over-Par Group 2 profile at FTFFEB, on the dirt, with a 23.96 foot SL, also more than half-foot above average. His sire, Henny Hughes, is starting to come on as his kids turn three. This could be an all BreezeFigs gimmick play and a box might actually bring you some payoff.

Good luck!