BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday January 28th

Split decision last week at Gulfstream.  First, our solid bet, Saturnus fried himself out on the lead and Reserve Currency was involved in a six way battle in deep stretch but didn’t hit the board. In  the other, Liberty Bound was a prompt favorite with Rodgerson getting up for third, so there was some gimmick as well as straight return for some people.  It was a solid week with 10 maiden BreezeFigs winners across the country including logical bombs at Tampa (Celtic City, $67.40), and Aqueduct (Marvelous Margaret, $26.00).  Today’s card appears light, but in truth it is chock full of first timers and solid second timers, but most of them are morning line favorites.  We think we found the bargain of the day, below.  Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2011 sales sheets have a major change in the NOTES section: The OBSFEB sale was eliminated and combined with OBSMAR, and that forced a re-evaluation of the CLASS EDGE for the various sales.  Pay attention because there has been an upgrade for OBSMAR and a consolidation of categories.

Also, don’t forget the change we made for the 2010 sales sheets (which is also in the 2011 sheets), in the SALE column: It’s now labeled SALE & HIP, the “HIP” referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale.  This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale. 

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here.  Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there.  Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study.  The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this:  When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group.  There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box.  So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races.  Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here.

Here’s our Pick for Saturday:

Tampa Bay Downs 11th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 1 1/16 Miles (Turf)

One BreezeFigs filly is making her debut here at 15-to-1 on the morning line, but Andrew’s Girl showed a bit of promise at OBSMAR last year when she posted a decent one-over-Par, Group 2 profile with a 22.80 foot SL, just under a half foot shorter than average for fillies at one furlong that day.  Turf has a tendency to add some reach to a horse’s stride length (and her sire’s first crop has done well on the surface), and if this filly can stay out of trouble and settle, she might be a good gimmick play.  Good luck!