01/21/2011 12:42PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday January 22nd


While we were more than a little chagrined that our Pick at Aqueduct last week, Shoutout, stopped on a dime, we had to be encouraged by the race thrown in by Admiral Rocket, who was off slowly and followed the eventual winner all the way around to get up for second at good odds in a strong effort. Tab him back. There were three eminently playable winners on that card, at Gulfstream, Fair Grounds and Tampa, and five others during the week wrecked by bad weather and few cards. We don't know what the weather will have in store for most of the country this weekend, but we'll take a chance with our Pick and hope it stays dry in California, see below. Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2010 sales sheets have a major addition in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download "2006 Sales Study," or just click right here.

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.

Here's our Pick for Saturday:

Santa Anita, 9th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 5 ½ Furlongs (Dirt)

Your might not get a whole heck of a lot of value playing two of the three BreezeFigs fillies in here, but you may be treated to a super race. First-timers Pink Lollipops and Jaredella posted excellent Group 1 profiles at their respective sales last year, and each is in a superior barn, so fitness will not be a question-the trip and class will decide. Pink Lollipops posted a nine-over-Par profile at OBSAPR with a 23.73 foot SL that was a bit over half a foot longer than average for fillies that day on synthetic. Jaredella's breeze on the dirt at EASMAY gave her a six-over-Par profile and a 23.67 foot SL, which was just under a half foot below average for fillies that day. They are about dead even all the way around and are bred to be quick. The other BreezeFigs filly here, Go Sophia, made her debut on the turf and looks to have had a rough trip of it. She comes out of BARMAR with a solid two-over-Par Group 2 profile which was accomplished on the dirt. However, her SL was over a foot and a half below average for fillies that day (23.08), so she might not quite be up to this standard, but could be a gimmick play. Might be a key race here, pay attention and enjoy.


Good luck!