01/20/2012 10:36AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday January 21st

Email

None of our horses could get out of their own way last week, kicking off a string of “what-the-heck-happened?” results for us which lasted through the week.  Well, stuff happens.  This week we are going straight to the Pix, giving you a bonus with two at Gulfstream.  They are probably the most difficult maiden races on the card to handicap, but we hope to provide you with a few insights as to how the BreezeFigs horses might give you a bit of an edge to cash a bet, see below. Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2011 sales sheets have a major change in the NOTES section: The OBSFEB sale was eliminated and combined with OBSMAR, and that forced a re-evaluation of the CLASS EDGE for the various sales.  Pay attention because there has been an upgrade for OBSMAR and a consolidation of categories.

Also, don’t forget the change we made for the 2010 sales sheets (which is also in the 2011 sheets), in the SALE column: It’s now labeled SALE & HIP, the “HIP” referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale.  This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale. 

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here.  Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there.  Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study.  The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this:  When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group.  There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box.  So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races.  Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here.

Here’s our Pix for Saturday:

Gulfstream Park, 6th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 1 1/16 Miles (Turf)

Two BreezeFigs horses bred for the weeds, one of which has already shown he can run a little, are surrounded by a bunch of others looking to shut them out.  Saturnus, who ran OK first out but tired late still looks like a good bet, maybe even a key, based on that and his EASMAY profile which had him chalking up a six-over-Par Group 1 effort that included a 25.02 foot SL, more than a foot longer for a quarter mile that day for colts.  Meanwhile, Reserve Currency makes his debut for a stable that has expanded its trainer roster and managed to convince the estimable Bill Mott to take this one on.  Not known for getting firsters to win, Mr. Mott still could surprise with this OBSAPR graduate based on its two-over-Par, Group 2 profile that featured a 24.03 foot SL, again more than a foot longer than average for colts, this time at one furlong.  Both of these beasts deserve strong gimmick consideration at the least.

Gulfstream Park, 9th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)

This one has four first time starters on the BreezeFigs card, and one that’s already run to his profile, which wasn’t very good.  The firsters might be headed by Chosen Heir, whose four-over-Par Group 2 profile at OBSAPR was boosted by a solid 24.09 foot SL, more than a foot longer than average that day; he’s by a sire who gets a lot of speedy first timers, strongly consider.  Rodgerson comes out of EASMAY with a two-over-Par Group 1 background which featured a 24.02 foot SL, about a third of a foot longer than average; his sire is not known for speedy types, though, so watch the board.  Liberty Bound will take money because he’s in Pletcher’s barn, but this one did show some promise at a quarter mile at KEEAPR with a one-under-Par Group 3 profile that featured a strong 25.26 foot SL, more than a foot longer than average; he’s got speedy genes.  Whining, who has started, and Storm On the Loose, who makes his debut, come out of OBSAPR where their Group 3 and Group 4 profiles, respectively, are similar—not that terrific.  We would fall off the chair if either one punched any kind of ticket here.  Good luck!