12/31/2010 1:58PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday January 1st


Happy New Year! Let's wipe the slate clean-who can remember what happened over the past couple of weeks that did not involve swimming, slushing or shoveling? Today's holiday BreezeFigs card has a few good opportunities but we've found two with some potential value that might get all of us off to a good start (below). Have fun and a good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2010 sales sheets have a major addition in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download "2006 Sales Study," or just click right here.

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.

Here's our Pix for Saturday:
Parx Racing, 5th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)

Lake Forest and Bibblesman both come out of the EASMAY sale where Lake Forest showed a 24.01 foot SL in racking up his four-over-Par Group 2 profile at one furlong-that's about a quarter foot longer than average for colts that day. Bibblesman's SL was about a foot shorter and went a long way to the calculation of his Group 3, three-under-Par profile. All things being equal, Lake Forest is the obvious play, probably a gimmick, but the board should tell you whether to put him on top.

Turfway Park, 8th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 5 ½ Furlongs (Synthetic)

There's a BreezeFigs coupled entry here-the only two BreezeFigs horses in the race-with City Run and Second Appeal showing some states that are about as close on their profiles as they are in their common ownership. Both also come out of EASMAY, both were Group 1, City Run was two over Par and Second Appeal was three over Par. Ironically, City Run had a SL that was almost a foot longer (22.68 vs 22.63), but Second Appeal was faster. One is likely to be scratched, and even though City Zip got off badly in her only start, either one is a good bet if she goes it alone, and probably a good key.

Good luck!