01/14/2011 11:29AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday January 15th


Apologies in order—last week’s BreezeFigs Quick-Pix was kiboshed due to a serious computer foul up, no prisoners taken, no harm no foul in the end. Would we have picked a winner on that card—who knows? Some days we’re better than others, and we did start the year off fairly well on New Year’s Day with a 1-3 finish at Turfway in one of the two Pix, the other shall not be mentioned. Meanwhile, since the turn of the year in a calendar wrecked by weather, there have been 17 maiden BreezeFigs winners, 11 of which (65%) broke their maidens in their first or second starts, so it pays to dig a little deeper sometimes. Today we will make up for last week and give you another two. Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2010 sales sheets have a major addition in the SALE column: It’s now labeled SALE & HIP, the “HIP” referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: biodatatrack.com.

Here's our Pix for Saturday:

Aqueduct, 3rd Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)

Interesting bunch of characters here, some of which might show enough promise to become useful later on, including two of the four BreezeFigs entries, Shoutout and Grimmer, both of which came out of the OBSMAR sale, breezing an eighth of a mile on separate days. Grimmer earned a two-over-Par Group 1 rating with a 23.95 foot SL that was almost a half-foot longer than average. The day before, Shoutout put up a one-over-Par Group 2 effort with a 24.78 foot SL, well over a foot longer than average. Grimmer did OK in his debut against slightly weaker, and these two need to be figured and played into any gimmick and we’ll favor Shoutout. The other two BreezeFigs horses, Harlan’s Halo and Haystack Needle, each come out of OBSAPR with modest Group 3 credentials (the latter was scratched after breezing). Neither gave us much to jump up and down about then, and their debuts confirmed it.

Oaklawn Park, 6th Race, Maiden Special Weight, Mile (Dirt)

Three BreezeFigs horses here, two of which could go on to really good things, both of them making their debuts in posts one and two. Heavenly Shiloh impressed with a five-over-Par, Group 1 performance at FTFFEB where his 23.57 foot SL was just a little above average for colts that day. We were surprised he sold for only 75k, but there may have been issues, and here he is now coming out at a mile—interesting. On the rail is Admiral Rocket, a “talking horse” at EASMAY because of his really nice looks and way of going. He was a one-over-Par Group 2 number at that sale with a 24.91 foot SL, well over a foot longer than average. Longshot Warrior also came out of the EASMAY sale with a five-under-Par Group 3 rating, and ran like it in his debut. Both of the other colts are meant to go two turns and if they can settle in could duke it out at the end—Heavenly Shiloh may be handier, but with a clear trip Admiral Rocket could do it. Box’em, Dano.

Good luck!