01/09/2009 12:00AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday, January 10th


Not the best way to start off the new year when your “gimmick” selection runs off with the race and your better bets finish out of the money. But if you used Copper Cascade as a saver last week, you were rewarded with big balloons all over the place ($57 to win) and we really had to lick our wounds over it. With a potentially erratic snowstorm churning its way toward the East Coast tracks where there are some nice maiden races for us to select for this week’s Pix, we’ve decided to score, or err, on the side of caution and head due South for a stop at Tampa Bay where tons of BreezeFigs horses run during the meet. There are plenty of other opportunities on the card outside the East as well, so sign up for DRF-Plus and get the card on the front page of .

Remember, there’s a new look to our sheets for the sales of 2008—we have added SURFACE as a new category to tell you whether the horse breezed on a dirt (D) or synthetic (S) track. There are four (S) sales this year—OBSFEB, OBSMAR, OBSAPR and KEEAPR; and three D sales—FTFFEB, BARMAR and EASMAY. Just to add some more insight to your handicapping.

Also, our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF PLUS box in the right hand column on the home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the .

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: .

Tampa is the little track on the other Florida coast and there are always some intriguing spots to examine. Here’s what we’re thinking this week. Good luck!

Tampa Bay Downs, , Maiden Special Weight, 5 Furlongs (Dirt)

Trust us, there are no Oaks winners likely to emerge from this scramble, but in a field full of first-time starters there is likely to be some value, and the three BreezeFigs fillies in here are not only worth a look, but are pretty even on their profiles. El Sol, the only one that’s started, stopped badly in her debut, and she is really tough to consider for the top spot because she scored three points below firster Zuri’s Girl at the same distance at OBSAPR. She was a Group 3 RNA for 10k there (she was subsequently sold for 11k at OBSJUN which we did not attend, but it doesn’t look like she did any better there). Zuri’s Girl, on the other hand, sold for a mere 12k at OBSAPR and had a shorter SL than El Sol, but made it into Group 2 because of other factors. She therefore rates a better bet in that respect. But the one we like better is Snow Lass, who was scratched (SCR) after posting a two-over-Par Group 3 BreezeFigs profile at EASMAY. An over-Par, Group 3 profile is a rarity for a sale like this, and she did it on dirt whereas the other two fillies come out of a synthetic track breeze. Snow Lass showed a longer SL than the other two, but we wouldn’t put too much weight on that—just go with the hunch that she’s probably better than the other two and should be the one you might want to key on. Good luck!