02/04/2011 1:16PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday February 5th


BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday February 5th by Bob Fierro & Jay Kilgore

Score one for a candidate for the shortest-priced BreezeFigs Pick in history-The Fed Eased buried his field at 1-to-5, including our sneaky pick, Not Now Ashley, who stumbled at the start and then was pushed to keep up with the winner for a half before gagging for air. That was just the beginning of a strange week during which many of the races were cancelled due to weather. But happily, BreezeFigs horses won 10 of the 26 that maiden races that actually got off, nearly a 40% strike rate. Would that we'd all be so consistently fortunate. In any case, this week's card is thin as a dime when it comes to maiden races with first timers, with allowances, claimers and stakes races predominating. But we found one that, weather permitting, looks tempting anyway-see below. Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2010 sales sheets have a major addition in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download "2006 Sales Study," or just click right here.

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.

Here's our Pick for Saturday:
Penn National, 3rd Race, Maiden Special Weight, 5 ½ Furlongs (Dirt)

The two BreezeFigs fillies in here both come out of EASMAY where each breezed a furlong and earned profiles at the opposite end of the spectrum despite being fairly close in stride length. Donzelle scampered in 10.2, earning a Group 1, five-over-Par Fig with a 23.37 foot SL, just a tad over average for fillies that day, and was sold for 32k. On the other hand, the next day Sweetheart Samanth needed a full second more to get the distance with a 23.07 foot SL, more than a quarter foot below average for fillies that day, and earned a six-under-Par Group 4 profile; she was not sold (RNA) for 20k. She finished up the track in her debut at Parx, so first-timer Donzelle looks pretty good in here for your straight and gimmick plays.

Good luck!