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Our Pick last week scratched and the entire card was quite shallow, but the day before was special—10 maiden races across the country with BreezeFigs horses running, and six of them won—at Aqueduct, Charles Town, Gulfstream (2), Oaklawn and Tampa. Four of them paid in double digits to win, with the first-timer, Starship Quality coming home at $39.80 at Gulfstream to lead the way in payoffs. Another five BreezeFigs horses broke their maidens during the week as well. Today’s card is once again spread out and chock full of horses that have raced at least once, but we found one with two first-timers to whet your appetite, see below. Good luck!
Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2011 sales sheets have a major change in the NOTES section: The OBSFEB sale was eliminated and combined with OBSMAR, and that forced a re-evaluation of the CLASS EDGE for the various sales. Pay attention because there has been an upgrade for OBSMAR and a consolidation of categories.
Also, don’t forget the change we made for the 2010 sales sheets (which is also in the 2011 sheets), in the SALE column: It’s now labeled SALE & HIP, the “HIP” referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.
The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.
Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.
If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.
Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here.
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here.
Here’s our Pick for Saturday:
Oaklawn Park, 9th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)
Two BreezeFigs fillies make their debuts here and at the very least they should be considered as gimmick plays in a race filled with fillies that have experience. Whobetterthanus has been working well enough to justify her Group 1, four-over-Par performance at EASMAY where her 23.22 foot SL was just over average for fillies that day; her 52k hammer price was reasonable as well. Kitty Kat Karly’s breeder took her home at OBSAPR (RNA) after a final bid of 27k, which was perhaps a bit disappointing considering her Group1, one-over-Par profile that featured a 22.84 foot SL, about a quarter foot longer than average for fillies that day. She’s been working OK as well, and either one of these could get a piece with a little luck. The board will help, good luck!
Best Bets
MISCHIEF MAKER ran twice in mid-winter, showing ability in debut while caught wide early, followed by a third at 25-1 in overnight stake after breaking in a tangle; catches soft maiden special-weight field off a slate of Saratoga works. SUGAR BEACH is 0 for 13 after even try in muddy off-the-turfer eight days ago; second try in blinkers. SWEET KAKES takes blinkers off after giving futile chase to Sing Like a Bird in mud; something close to last two on fast footing give her money chances. ISLARAMA tries statebreds after willing finish behind 3-10 Jaggermama at Pimlico first time out.
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