02/24/2012 2:20PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday February 25th


While Despinas Desire, our favored part of the Pick last week could do no better than third, it was an interesting BreezeFigs Pix weekend nonetheless.  That’s because two of our previous Pix broke their maidens at good odds: On Saturday, Andrew’s Girl, who scratched out after being our lone pick in her scheduled debut a couple of weeks ago, came up the rail to light up the board at $46 at Tampa Bay; the next day, Koast took to the downhill turf course at Santa Anita to pay $14.20 in his third start.  It pays to track these things, so keep an eye out for Despinas Desire in her next start, for example.  This week we have a parlay opportunity because we simply could not resist, see below. Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2011 sales sheets have a major change in the NOTES section: The OBSFEB sale was eliminated and combined with OBSMAR, and that forced a re-evaluation of the CLASS EDGE for the various sales.  Pay attention because there has been an upgrade for OBSMAR and a consolidation of categories.

Also, don’t forget the change we made for the 2010 sales sheets (which is also in the 2011 sheets), in the SALE column: It’s now labeled SALE & HIP, the “HIP” referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale.  This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale. 

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here.  Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there.  Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study.  The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this:  When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group.  There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box.  So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races.  Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here.

Here’s our Pix for Saturday—a rare parlay opportunity:

Fair Grounds, 2nd Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)

How can you overlook a horse named Agent Di Nozzo?  Named for an oddball, fun loving character on NCIS, the most popular TV show in the ratings, this beast turned in a creditable four-over-Par Group 1 performance at FTFFEB where his 24.82 stride length was well over half a foot longer than average that day.  However, he was slowing down considerably there so it will be important for him to be reigned in carefully to get the drop on some experienced runners.  One of those is Mongol Max, who had a profile almost identical to his, but at the less tony EASMAY where his Group 1, five-over-Par BreezeFigs rating included a 24.58 foot SL, which was more than three-quarters of a foot longer than average.  He had two good trips at Delta Downs before bombing on the turf at this track so a return to the dirt might be good for him here—if Agent Di Nozzo doesn’t ambush him.

Fair Grounds, 3rd Race, Maiden Special Weight (Louisiana-Breds), 6 Furlongs (Dirt)

Storming John breezed at EASMAY about the same time as did Mongol Max, mentioned above, and he also earned a Group 1 BreezeFigs rating, but just one-over-Par with a slightly shorter 24.08 foot SL—about a third of a foot longer than average.  But he’s in against state-breds here, so that might be enough to get him to the wire ahead of the others.  Good luck!