02/22/2013 10:36AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday February 23rd, 2013


Besides the fact that our Pick last week only ran so-so, your correspondent has been striken with computer-crashitis and this column will be briefer than usual.  However, we would be negligent if we did not report that the week included a pretty nifty Thursday with four BreezeFigs maiden winners out of the six races on the card--and one of them, the sixth at Aqueduct, was a stone-cold BreezeFigs exacta ($148) and trifecta ($1,345), kicked off by first-time starter Single Forever at $35.(and the ninth race also went to a BreezeFigs horse at $5.60). The other winners were at Oaklawn ($9.00) and a major bomb at Santa Anita when Mars Curiosity came home atr $94.60.  Today's card is very good, with one pretty interesting race described below.  Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember like the 2011 the 2012 sales sheets have major changes in the NOTES section: For 2011, the OBSFEB sale was eliminated and combined with OBSMAR, and for 2012, the FTFFEB sale was moved to March, so it is now known as FTFMAR. Both of these changes forced a re-evaluation of the CLASS EDGE for the various sales. Pay attention because there has been an upgrade for OBSMAR and a consolidation of categories.

Also, don’t forget the change we made for the 2010 sales sheets (which is also in the 2011 and 2012 sheets), in the SALE column: It’s now labeled SALE & HIP, the “HIP” referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/Video_Links_BreezeFigs_for_2009_Sales.pdf. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/BreezeFigs_&_Stride_Length_Study_Part_I.pdf
you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here: http://drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.

Here is a good one for today:

Aqueduct, 7th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs, (Inner Dirt)

Four BreezeFigs maidens in this one, two of them first-timers, one with very good credentials.  That would be Risk Management who comes out of  EASMAY with a four-over-Par Group 2 profile that featured a whopping 25.86 foot SL at one-eighth, 1.76 feet longer than average that day.  He is obviously no shrimp, and he is in good hands at a nice morning line price.  Dr. Chase has already shown he can be cometitive here and his two-under-Par Group 3 profile at OBSMAR was not all that bad--his 23.67 foot SL was basically average that day.  The other two are Goldcraft, the other firster, who was four-under-Par Group 3 at the same sale with a 1.74-foot-below-average 21.89 foot SL; and Bedouin Now, who was five-under-Par Group 4 at KEEAPR and was scratched (SCR) after posting a 23.54 foot SL, almost a foot below average that day. The top two look playable here straight and in gimmicks.  Good luck!