02/21/2014 10:44AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday February 22nd, 2014 by Bob Fierro & Jay Kilgore


Sometimes we get a little overconfident with our Pix, which may have happened last week when Part pooped out after being in contention too early for his first start.  However, he is a solid contender around two turns next out.  But, it wasn’t a total loss.  On the same card at Gulfstream two other BreezeFigs horses broke their maidens: My Mom Santina (second start, $14.20) and Victory Nor Defeat (first timer which we should have picked, $13.20).  In a week when racing was basically confined to the Sun Belt and California, eight BreezeFigs horses broke their maidens—three at Gulfstream (including the two above), two each at Golden Gate and Turf Paradise, and one at Oaklawn.  In addition, three of those winners headed up BreezeFigs exactas—one at Golden Gate for $29.60, one at Turf Paradise ($13.40) and the one at Oaklawn ($116).  Today’s card is overwhelmingly populated by horses which have already started, but we found one that may pay off, see below. Good luck!

Remember to pay attention to two changes we’ve made over the past several years.  First, there have been changes in the CLASS EDGE category (at the bottom of the BreezeFigs card) because one sale was eliminated (OBSFEB) and FTFFEB is now in March (FTFMAR), and that moved OBSMAR into a higher class.  Also, in the SALE & HIP column: the “HIP” refers to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://static.drf.com/PDFs/breezefigs/BreezeFigs2009Sales.pdf.  Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here http://static.drf.com/PDFs/breezefigs/StrideLengthStudy-1.pdf you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigsInformation, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here: http://www1.drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: http://www.biodatatrack.com.

Here’s Saturday’s Pick:
Fair Grounds, 13th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)

He’s got the rail, he should be quick because most of his sire’s runners like to get out fast, and he threw in a solid five-over-Par Group 2 performance at OBSAPR with a 25.11 foot stride length, which was two feet longer than average for that day.  If he gets out and is not trapped inside, then Wildcat Friendship could hammer.  He looks like a solid key at the very least. Good luck!