02/11/2011 1:59PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday February 12th


If we were wildcat oil drillers, this would have been the week of dry holes. First, our solid Pick at Penn National got snowed out, and when they brought the exact same race back for Tuesday, it got shoveled again due to weather. Then there were so many cancellations through the week at so many tracks that the results at tracks that managed to open their doors were quite unfathomable. So, we are living another day, and have found an absolutely impossible betting situation this week-below. Best of luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2010 sales sheets have a major addition in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download "2006 Sales Study," or just click right here.

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.

Here's our Pick for Saturday:
Gulfstream Park, 8th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)

There are seven-coun'em, seven-BreezeFigs horses in this field, five of which look like solid gimmick bets, three of which look like they might be good keys. Of the ones that have yet to start, we really liked Back Alley Deal and Rattlesnake Bridge at the EASMAY sale where their breezes on the dirt earned both of the Group 2 status, with the former posting a 24.80 foot SL at a furlong and the latter a 25.23 foot SL at a quarter mile-both of which were more than a foot longer than average. Both are in good hands and may have the speed necessary to win at the distance. Show Me the Way was scratched from the OBSMAR sale after posting a solid two-over-Par Group 2 profile that featured a 24.85 foot SL, also more than a foot longer than average. Former Pick Backdown disappointed us in his two starts to date, and he may be a new gelding, and if he can adjust to that he may be very dangerous here based on his four-over-Par OBSAPR profile which featured a 24.68 foot SL, also over a foot longer than average. (If he's not a new gelding, proceed cautiously). On Lockdown showed a modest two-under-Par Group 3 profile at FTFFEB where his 23.44 foot SL was just about average-but like several others from this outfit, he was scratched from that sale and some of those have gone on to embarrass our Figs, making one think they weren't serious in selling these horses. So he is the stinker in the group here. Neither Mr. Valentine nor Pacmanstephen showed much at the sales to warrant this level of competition, though the former has had two races and did not get disgraced in his last race. If they are ready, Back Alley Deal, Rattlesnake Bridge and Backdown look like the keys here with Show Me the Way a possible throw in. But if the board shows On Lockdown getting all the money, proceed at your own risk.

Good luck!