12/07/2013 1:00AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, December 7 by Bob Fierro and Jay Kilgore


Housekeeping: Looks like the cards are OK now with an occasional duplication. Hopefully.  Also, hopefully, someone will locate our Pick last week—that horse faded like a comet heading to the sun.  No names, please.  The week was OK considering the lack of racing opportunities and also the number of lower-level horses that ran.  There were four BreezeFigs maiden winners, at Calder, Charles Town, Churchill, and Golden Gate.  Saturday’s card is loaded with opportunities and there’s a potential nugget for the future here, see below. Good luck!
Remember to pay attention to two changes we’ve made over the past several years.  First, there have been changes in the CLASS EDGE category (at the bottom of the BreezeFigs card) because one sale was eliminated (OBSFEB) and FTFFEB is now in March (FTFMAR), and that moved OBSMAR into a higher class.  Also, in the SALE & HIP column: the “HIP” refers to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/Video_Links_BreezeFigs_for_2009_Sales.pdf. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/BreezeFigs_&_Stride_Length_Study_Part_I.pdf you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigsInformation, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here: http://www1.drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here:www.biodatatrack.com.

Here’s Saturday’s Pick:
Betfair Hollywood Park, 2nd Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Synthetic)
We liked Chitu a few weeks ago but he was scratched and comes back as the 5-to-2 morning line favorite here in his debut. With a nine-over-Par Group 1 profile at OBSMAR, this colt sported a serious 26.26 foot stride length at a quarter mile, 1.84 feet longer than average for colts that day, and one of the longest of the year at the sales.  He’s on the rail, so that might be his only worry. We don’t think the other BreezeFigs horse in here, Red N Black Attack, will worry him based on his Group 3, five-under-Par OBSAPR profile that featured (if you can call it that) a 21.96 foot SL, which was 1.69 feet below average for a colt that day at a quarter mile.  Unless there was something wrong with him, this one is not on the plate.  But Chitu is the key here. Good luck!

Joel Winicki More than 1 year ago
A well bred Baffert firster that's working great. Way to go out on a limb there.....lol