12/04/2009 12:00AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday, December 5th


Both our Pix last week went into the tank simultaneously-neither one raised a hoof and had to have their connections scratching their heads. Such is the case at times, but it was a good week overall once again, and today's card looks like it has some interesting sneaky plays, including two in our first stabs at inner-track form at Aqueduct. See below.

Before we get to the business of Pix, we remember we've changed our format for the 2-year-old sheet. There are two BreezeFigs sheets for each date, one for the 3-year-olds from the 2008 sales (to be posted through June 30th), and one for the 2-year-olds from the 2009 sales. The 2009 sales sheet has a major addition in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the 2009 BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08, won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the .

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: .

Here's our Pix for today. Good luck!

Aqueduct, , Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Inner-Dirt)

There will be a short-priced favorite here in Pow Wow, but two of the three BreezeFigs horses have good shots (first timers Afleet Express and Fiery Forest), and the other one, Known Gambler, might just sneak into the gimmicks. Afleet Express showed a monstrous 26.2 foot SL at KEEAPR (more than two feet above average) in his one-over-Par Group 1 profile, which indicates he's pretty large and needed some time to come to hand. Fiery Forest, on the other hand, showed a just-under-average 23.86 foot SL in his one-over-Par Group 1 effort at OBSMAR-which means he might be quicker from the gate and that's really important on the inner-track. Known Gambler's one-under-Par profile at OBSFEB was very nice for a Group 3 horse, and it could be he hated the slop in his debut, and his 24.36 foot SL is just dandy here. This could be a key maiden race and you should watch the board because these beasts have top-flight connections and all are solid gimmick plays. With all that speed, we might tip it toward Afleet Express who could use that long SL in the stretch to catch them all.

Aqueduct, , Maiden Special Weight (New York-Breds), 6 Furlongs (Inner-Dirt)

We could be politically incorrect here, but we think two of the three BreezeFigs horses, Tapped Out Bruno and Le Bonne Vie, have solid credentials for a possible inside-Albany hunch-bet exacta (you have to be a New Yorker to appreciate that twisted logic). Both are firsters, and there are some solid experienced maidens here, but Le Bonne Vie showed very steady numbers in his three-over-Par, Group 1 performance at a furlong at OBSAPR, as did Tapped Out Bruno with his even-Par, Group 1 strut at a quarter mile at EASMAY. Both had just slightly above average SLs, and good speed, so they need to be considered here. The other one, Tocco d'Oro, also making his debut, needs to show more than he did at OBSAPR where he was a Group 4, four-under-Par horse who failed to meet his reserve (RNA) at 19k. Good luck!