12/03/2010 12:00PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday December 4th


There was no joy at Churchill Downs last week for our Pick race in which every one of the horses we liked stunk out the joint-but there were two nice maiden BreezeFigs winners on that card at Churchill, and another during the week at that track. Overall, there were four BreezeFigs maiden winners on last Saturday's card and a total of 12 for the week: at Aqueduct, Fair Grounds, Laurel, Churchill (three), Calder, Hollywood (two) Hawthorne and Delta (two). This week's card is loaded with good opportunities again, but we're going to go off the beaten path for our Pick (below). Have fun and a good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2010 sales sheets have a major addition in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download "2006 Sales Study," or just click right here.

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.

Here's our Pick for Saturday:
Delta Downs, 6th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 ½ Furlongs (Dirt)

Well, here we are at a bullring for a two-turn sprint that looks interesting. There are two BreezeFigs horses in this one, one of which, Snow Storm, is on the AE list-he's had two chances already and has shown just enough to justify his Group 2 OBSAPR profile. However, the first-time starter Hennessy's Dream, looks pretty good in here, especially since he comes out of two sales where he breezed on dirt at a quarter mile each time, and runs on dirt here. He posted a Group 2, even-Par profile at FTFFEB where his 23.92 foot SL was about a quarter foot longer than average-but he was bought back (RNA) for 100k there. He was then wheeled into the EASMAY sale where he posted a two-over-Par Group 2 profile with a 23.46 foot SL, which was about a quarter foot below average, and was sold for 85k. Either way he looks pretty good in this crowd with a long stretch of works behind him. Pounce!

Good luck!