12/23/2011 11:03AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday December 24th


The less said about last week’s Pix the better.  In fact, it turned out to be a very light week in the number of maiden races across the country, and the Christmas Eve BreezeFigs card has only four of them, two at Gulfstream and two at Parx.  So, in the spirit of the season, we will select one of them from the stocking (see below) and wish you and yours and everyone everywhere a Merry Merry and Happy Happy! Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2011 sales sheets have a major change in the NOTES section: The OBSFEB sale was eliminated and combined with OBSMAR, and that forced a re-evaluation of the CLASS EDGE for the various sales.  Pay attention because there has been an upgrade for OBSMAR and a consolidation of categories.

Also, don’t forget the change we made for the 2010 sales sheets (which is also in the 2011 sheets), in the SALE column: It’s now labeled SALE & HIP, the “HIP” referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale.  This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale. 

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here.  Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there.  Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study.  The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this:  When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group.  There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box.  So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races.  Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here.

Here’s our Pick for Saturday:

Gulfstream Park, 7th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 ½ Furlongs (Dirt)

Four BreezeFigs colts are scheduled to line up in this one, with a first-timer and one making his second start looking to be the ones to focus on.  Lindau, the firster, posted an even-Par Group 2 profile at EASMAY where his 24.13 foot SL was about a third of a foot longer than average.  He looks to be strictly a gimmick play here behind Stealcase, who came out of the OBSMAR sale with a nice three-over-Par Group 2 profile that featured a 24.34 foot SL, similarly longer than average to the one racked up by Lindau.  But Stealcase got wiped out at the start in his debut and with a solid start should rule here.  Someday Came has been a clunker in his three starts so far, indicating he does not have the depth to live up to his seven-over-Par, Group 1 profile at OBSAPR.  He posted a excellent 24.61 foot SL (1.21 feet longer than average), but was bought back for 50k (RNA), which is what he was purchased for as a yearling.  Frankie Rules, the other first-timer, comes out of the OBSMAR sale where he was a 32k RNA, reflective of his eight-under-Par, Group 3 profile which featured a nice SL (23.98, which was .65 foot longer than average), but not much speed.  This one looks like it should come down to Stealcase, with Lindau a nice gimmick play.  Good luck!