12/12/2008 12:00AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday, December 13th


It’s that time of year when inconsistency rears its ugly head in various forms—weather, track conditions, short fields, fewer cards, and horses that just don’t want to run to form. But we did OK last week when one of our Pix, Storm Door, completed a $30 exacta in Aqueduct’s sixth—and that was preceded by a Group 1 firster, Forty Third Recon, who took the fourth race on the same card. There were other winners throughout the week, and this week’s card has new opportunities for clever plays, as we detail below. Sign up for DRF-Plus and get the card on the front page of .

Remember, there’s a new look to our sheets for the sales of 2008—we have added SURFACE as a new category to tell you whether the horse breezed on a dirt (D) or synthetic (S) track. There are four (S) sales this year—OBSFEB, OBSMAR, OBSAPR and KEEAPR; and three D sales—FTFFEB, BARMAR and EASMAY. Just to add some more insight to your handicapping.

Also, our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF PLUS box in the right hand column on the home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the .

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: .

There are two races that intrigue us this week, one because of karma if not its BreezeFigs profile. Good luck!

Hawthorne, , Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)

Even if you don’t believe in karma, you have to pay attention to first-timer Economic Bailout here. He had a very even, one-over-Par Group 2 profile at KEEAPR on Polytrack, showing a basically average SL of just over 24 feet. He was a 60k RNA, which might give you a little pause since he shows in the PP’s as being a 70k yearling, so he might have had health issues in April. He’s worth a look and a gimmick play at the least, but don’t go overboard, because if he loses, you will get no sympathy in Washington, D.C.

Golden Gate, , Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Synthetic)

When he’s loaded, trainer Greg Gilchrist is loaded for bear, and even if he scratches either Hidden Romance or Blossom Rock, the two uncoupled firsters he has in here, he will probably have the favorite at post time. Hidden Romance has the slightly better BreezeFigs profile of the two, flying to a nine-over-Par, Group 1 profile at EASMAY on the dirt, displaying a SL that was 1.32 feet longer than average. Blossom Rock had the exact same BreezeFig, but on synthetic at OBSMAR, where she was even Par. She also had a longer SL, but it was just 1.37 feet above average, so all things considered, these fillies are dead even in our book. There are two other BreezeFigs horses in this race: Posse’s Princess, who had a similar profile at OBSMAR to Blossom Rock’s, but a far shorter SL, and she’s done nothing in her three races to merit much here; and firster Waltzing Swan, whose four-under-Par profile at BARMAR shows that she might not be able to mix it up with the top two.