12/11/2009 12:00AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday, December 12th


We had a split decision at Aqueduct last week, with our politically incorrect Pix tanking in thre fourth race but our long-stride selection, Afleet Express, putting on quite a show in the second, his debut getting off slowly, trailing the field by a seemingly impossible margin to overcome, then swooping through the lane with his 26-foot SL to blow away his field and post a $10.20 payoff.   Later on at Aqueduct, another playable number that we did not highlight but was right there on the card came through when Morning Run took the sixth race at $11.20 in his second start.  In a weather-blitzed week, there were good winners everywhere, and we have a sneaky bet for you this week to ponder on one of the cards.  Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, we remember we've changed our format for the 2-year-old sheet. There are two BreezeFigs sheets for each date, one for the 3-year-olds from the 2008 sales (to be posted through June 30th), and one for the 2-year-olds from the 2009 sales. The 2009 sales sheet has a major addition in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the 2009 BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08, won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the .

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: .

Here s our Pix for today. Good luck!

Philadelphia Park, , Maiden Claiming ($40,000), 6 Furlongs, (Dirt)

Three BreezeFigs contenders here, with two having shown their profiles were pretty much on target so far Key to Brooklyn (Group 3, OBSAPR) and Rings Island (Group 4 OBSMAR).  The other one, Smooth Glider, is a first-timer who was a Group 1 at EASMAY with a five-over-Par profile that featured a half-foot above average SL.  He looks like a decent bet since he s been breezing on the dirt at Belmont Park, and gets dirt here, too, though not that similar.  (As an aside, in the fifth race, there s a first-timer also with a virtually identical profile Timber Trouble who is in tougher company and has been breezing on artificial stuff at Fair Hill.  Might want to look him up as well as our sneaky bet of the day.)

Sam Houston Park, , Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)

He didn t have the hottest profile at BARMAR, but our notes say he would need time to come to hand, so Tropical Rush is worth a look here based on his three-over-Par Group 2 credentials with a slightly under-average 24.2 foot SL in a race that looks like it could set up well for him.  Watch the board, and plunge at will.  Good luck!