08/05/2011 9:32AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday August 4th


We are at Saratoga now, licking our wounds from a couple of Pix last week that stunk out the joint.  Perhaps taking the waters up here will clear the cobwebs, especially since there were two really nice BreezeFigs Group 1 debut maiden winners up here this week in Hunt Crossing on Wednesday and the appropriately named Dayatthespa on the weeds on Thursday.  They were part of a group of a dozen BreezeFigs maiden winners in the past week across the country at Calder (4), Charles Town (2), Del Mar (2), Delaware (1), and Ellis Park (1).   There are three maiden races on today’s card at the Spa, plus nine others across the land, and we’re focusing on the most contentious one at Saratoga, see below. Good luck!

Meanwhile, up in this continent the 2-year-old season is well under way and a half-dozen BreezeFigs horses broke their maidens, all of which were very playable.  While the 3-year-old season is officially over for us, there are two cards left over for July 1st and 2nd which are on www.drf.com so you might want to have a look at them, too, but the 2010 cards will disappear this weekend.  For now, let’s concentrate on the babies, including our spotlight race below, one of several inscrutable events on Saturday’s card. Best of luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2011 sales sheets have a major change in the NOTES section: The OBSFEB sale was eliminated and combined with OBSMAR, and that forced a re-evaluation of the CLASS EDGE for the various sales.  Pay attention because there has been an upgrade for OBSMAR and a consolidation of categories.

Also, don’t forget the change we made for the 2010 sales sheets (which is also in the 2011 sheets), in the SALE column: It’s now labeled SALE & HIP, the “HIP” referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale.  This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale. 

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here.  Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there.  Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study.  The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this:  When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group.  There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box.  So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races.  Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here.

Here’s our Pick for Saturday:

Saratoga Race Course, 3rd Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 ½ Furlongs (Dirt)

Four BreezeFigs colts pepper the entries including one, Street Fight, who ran well in his debut despite his seven-under-Par profile at FTFFEB.  We’re still not convinced he’s that good, but we are convinced the other three, all first-timers, might be better bets here.  The intriguingly named A Single Man was scratched out of the FTFFEB sale after posting a very nice five-over-Par Group 1 performance that featured a 24.79 foot SL, which was more than half a foot longer than average for colts that day at 1/8 mile. Ironically, the aforementioned Street Fight posted a very good 24.51 foot SL on the same day, and covered the distance in the same 10.3 as A Single Man, but the latter did it much more efficiently.  Two OBSMAR graduates round out the quartet, and both need to be considered.  Grandpa Len posted a solid five-over-Par Group 2 profile at a quarter mile with a 24.86 foot SL that was more than a foot longer than average.  Currency Swap had spun the same distance the day before with an even-Par Group 2 performance than featured a 24.24 foot SL, about a half-foot longer than average—and failed to sell (RNA) at 92k.  In this bunch, we give the nod to Grandpa Len with both A Single Man and Currency Swap looking best for gimmick plays.  Good luck!