08/27/2009 11:00PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday, August 29th


We won't red board too much this week except to say that while we tanked on our selection at Saratoga, there were five other winners that day on the BreezeFigs card, four the next day (including both races at Saratoga) and ten more across the country during the week. This Saturday there are 99 (yes, 99) BreezeFigs horses on the card, including a bevy of races at Calder-but there are two absolute stand-out races chock full of seemingly playable horses that we will concentrate on, one at Saratoga and the other at Del Mar. Both are likely to produce horses that may be seen at the same tracks next year in Graded stakes company. As usual, our Pix are down below.

Before we get to the business of Pix, we remember we've changed our format for the 2-year-old sheet. There are two BreezeFigs sheets for each date, one for the 3-year-olds from the 2008 sales (to be posted through June 30th), and one for the 2-year-olds from the 2009 sales. The 2009 sales sheet has a major addition in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the 2009 BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08, won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the .

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: .

Here we go-trying to decipher the impossible this week. Good luck

Saratoga, , Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)

Whoever wins this race will be headed towards stardom. This is an extremely talented, well bred and fancy field of 2-year-old colts, many of which have top dollar prices to live up to. There are six BreezeFigs horses entered (the weather may determine which get to the gate), more than half the field. The Group 1 horses are Bulldogger, El Primero and Three Day Rush. Bulldogger (our top pick two weeks ago but scratched) had a 24.75 foot stride at KEEAPR with a three-above Par profile on the Polytrack but will he like the dirt? El Primero came out of FTFFEB with only a 23.3-ft SL, but that was on dirt and he was eight-above-Par on his profile and only two points below the best in the sale. Three Day Rush went through FTFFEB sale but was RNA'd for 240K. He earned nine-above-Par profile with a a 24.2 ft SL on that dirt course and was therefore technically a point better than El Primero. His one race over a dirt surface gives him the nod here. The two Group 3 horses both have tremendously long strides: Kajiwara (24.7 feet) and No Truth Told (24.8 feet) and you might want to fool with them in your long exotics.

Del Mar, , Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Synthetic)

As in the Saratoga race, this too is an extremely tough and strong field with more BreezeFigs horses than homebreds or sales yearlings combined. There is no Group 1 here but there are four very talented Group 2 individuals and three Group 3 horses to consider. The Skinny Man might be just that but his 25.8 ft SL at BARMAR this year gives him an edge here even though that breeze was on dirt. El Gran Matador earned a shorter 23.3 ft SL length at EASMAY, also on the dirt, and was only one point above par. Sufi Dancer had the same 23.3 ft SL at OBSFEB on synthetic and his BreezeFig was the Par that day. Dave in Dixie rounds out the Group 2 horses with a 24.6 ft. SL atr KEEAPR on synthetic and his BreezeFig was also equal to Par. All three Group 3 horses have long strides of 24 feet and above and the one to watch is the Papa Terry who RNA'd for 93K at FTFFEB after posting a one-under-Par profile but he was really speeding up at the end of his breeze and could pull off the upset.

Good luck!