08/27/2010 11:19AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday August 28th


We're definitely not going to venture forth into two-turn-turf-territory again today following last week's roughly run race at Saratoga which saw our BreezeFigs Pix get walloped, literally and figuratively. We were saved by Indian Winter, our strong firster at Del Mar who kicked off modest $40 trifecta with his $4 payoff when the only other BreezeFigs horse in the race, Special Kid, checked in third at 13-to-1. There were four winners on that card, and in the past seven day cycle there were 17 BreezeFigs winners across the continent, at Calder, Charles Town, Delaware, Del Mar, Finger Lakes, Monmouth, Saratoga and Suffolk, some firsters, all class levels and surfaces. There are plenty of opportunities on these cards, but you have to be selective. Today, for example, there are more than 60 BreezeFigs horses on the card, including cross-entries in stakes races on a huge day of baby races at Calder, but our purpose in this column is to ferret out the first-time starters that look particularly juicy. Today's selection could not be a better example-see below and best of luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2010 sales sheets have a major addition in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download "2006 Sales Study," or just click right here.

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: biodatatrack.com.

Here's our picks for Saturday at Saratoga and Del Mar. Good luck!

Saratoga, 5th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Dirt) This may become known as a key race sometime in the future, since it's loaded with pricey yearlings, tony home-breds, and three first-time BreezeFigs starters who sold for 100k or more at the sales this year. Two of them, King Congie and Research Report, came out of OBSFEB where the former had a four-over-Par, Group 1 profile with a 23.15 foot SL, three-quarters of a foot above average. He may need some time to settle, but he could be powering down the stretch pretty well at the end. Research Report is on the dreaded rail and came up with a below-average SL of 23.21 feet at the sale, but clocked in with a two-over-Par Group 2 profile. If he gets into good position, he might be able to steal away from them, but it will be tough. The other BreezeFigs horse, Believe in You, comes out of OBSMAR where he had a solid one-over-Par Group 2 profile at a quarter mile with a SL that was 24.30 feet, three-quarters of a foot longer than average at the distance for colts that day. These three will have some competition but they are all definite gimmick plays with King Congie and Believe in You probably worth more of a shot as your keys. Tough race, but this is Saratoga, after all. Good luck!