08/16/2013 9:41AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, August 17


We may not have played it quite this way, but last week's Pick did come through as Bluegrass Derby got up to win at $25.00 and Little Rocco completed a $109 exacta.  Indeed, that gimmick was one of seven BreezeFigs exactas across the country on the 2-year-old cards last week, including two at Saratoga where every day but one a BreezeFigs maiden won.  There were seven BreezeFigs maiden winners at the Spa, and one stakes winner, and another 12 maiden winners at other tracks: Canterbury, Del Mar (2, with one exacta), Finger Lakes, Gulfstream (2, including the Pix exacta), Indiana (an exacta), Louisiana Downs, Parx, Penn National (2), and Prairie Meadows (exacta).  That's 20 winners on the cards in a week, maybe a record. Today's card (including the 3-year-old card) has a lot of puzzling options, but we found one that might be interesting, see below. Good luck!
Remember to pay attention to two changes we’ve made over the past several years.  First, there have been changes in the CLASS EDGE category (at the bottom of the BreezeFigs card) because one sale was eliminated (OBSFEB) and FTFFEB is now in March (FTFMAR), and that moved OBSMAR into a higher class.  Also, in the SALE & HIP column: the "HIP" refers to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/Video_Links_BreezeFigs_for_2009_Sales.pdf. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/BreezeFigs_&_Stride_Length_Study_Part_I.pdf you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigsInformation, and then download "2006 Sales Study," or just click right here: http://www1.drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.

Here's Saturday's Pick:

Ellis Park, 7th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 5 ½ Furlongs (Dirt)

Two first-time BreezeFigs colts come into this one, in posts 11 and 12, but with some luck they might bring home an exacta.  We'll tip it to Demander who came out of OBSMAR with  Group 1, five-over-Par profile and a 24.77 foot stride length that was more than a foot longer than average that day at one eighth.  Tiz a Star came along a month later at OBSAPR on the same track and distance turned in an even-Par, Group 2 effort with a 23.30 foot SL, just about average for colts that day.  Both are in good hands, and a box wouldn't hurt. Good luck!