08/10/2012 9:20AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday August 11th, 2012


Last week's Pick, Winning Cause, one-paced his way around the Saratoga course while our second choice, Balance the Books, ran a very decent second to a well-meant winner.  If you had the BreezeFigs card that day and paid attention, you would have found Del Mar's two baby races intriguing, and they were swept by BreezeFigs horses, including one where the first four finishers were all Group 1 BreezeFigs horses—nice payoffs all the way.  Eight BreezeFigs juveniles broke their maidens during the week, including another two on Monday at Saratoga and solo winners at Arlington, Calder, Presque Isle and Woodbine.  The 3-year-olds are coming to the end of the string here, but three still broke their maidens during the week, so there's value there as well.  Today's card is heavily tilted to the East where weather will be a factor, so we went for the middle of the country for our Pick, see below.  Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2011 and now 2012 sales sheets have major changes in the NOTES section: For 2011, the OBSFEB sale was eliminated and combined with OBSMAR, and for 2012, the FTFFEB sale was moved to March, so it is now known as FTFMAR. Both of these changes forced a re-evaluation of the CLASS EDGE for the various sales.  Pay attention because there has been an upgrade for OBSMAR and a consolidation of categories.

Also, don't forget the change we made for the 2010 sales sheets (which is also in the 2011 and 2012 sheets), in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale.  This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale. 

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here.  Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there.  Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study.  The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this:  When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group.  There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box.  So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races.  Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download "2006 Sales Study," or just click right here.

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here.

Tons of maiden races today, here's one which pops up with value:

Arlington Park, 2nd, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Synthetic)

This race has four BreezeFigs horses, three of which have started and one, Bahia Via, who makes his debut with some strong credentials.  He comes out of OBSAPR with a five-over-Par Group 1 profile and 24.73 foot SL, which was 1.28 feet longer than the average for colts that day and also much longer than his three BreezeFigs rivals in this event, all of which are Group 2.  Bold Perspective showed the most in his debut, justifying his OBSMAR one-over-Par profile with a 23.84 foot SL, about a quarter foot longer than average.  The same day Go Go Rocket earned the same BreezeFig but with a SL that was half-a-foot shorter at the same distance.  His debut was marred by a bad start and some personal foolishness, but he could be around at the end.  Officer Parties was even-Par at EASMAY but ran in his debut like his 22.09 foot SL indicated he might—not much.  Bahia Via might be best here and combined with the Bold Perspective and perhaps Go Go Rocket, he might get you by.  Good luck!