04/05/2013 9:39AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, April 6th


When it comes to watching your two Pix perform exactly as you thought but one of them went too fast too early and the other one merely caught up to that one's mistake, you tear up your tickets and your hair out. That's what happened last week when our top Pick, Brother Pete, got fried in a wicked battle up front and out suck-up gimmick play, Major Affair, came along late to edge our pick for second. The fact that they completed a paltry $32 trifecta may have compensated for the tactics but not much. Today, we go back to the same track to for a BreezeFigs marquee race to see whether we can be redeemed, see below. Good luck!

Fairly decent debut by our Pick last week, Wildfire Kid, who got off slowly, was not rushed, and still managed to get up for third. Sure "key" next time out. There were scant opportunities during the last seven days for BreezeFigs horses to make a lot of noise, but nine of them still came home on top. They ranged from a stingy $2.90 payoff by Risk Management in his second start at Aqueduct on Saturday to a ridiculously generous $28.60 debut by Unfettered at Sunland. The many stakes races on Saturday feature numerous BreezeFigs Pix but we have found a potential goodie in a first timer, see below. Good luck!

Remember like the 2011 the 2012 sales sheets have major changes in the NOTES section: For 2011, the OBSFEB sale was eliminated and combined with OBSMAR, and for 2012, the FTFFEB sale was moved to March, so it is now known as FTFMAR. Both of these changes forced a re-evaluation of the CLASS EDGE for the various sales. Pay attention because there has been an upgrade for OBSMAR and a consolidation of categories.

Also, don’t forget the change we made for the 2010 sales sheets (which is also in the 2011 and 2012 sheets), in the SALE column: It’s now labeled SALE & HIP, the “HIP” referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/Video_Links_BreezeFigs_for_2009_Sales.pdf. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/BreezeFigs_&_Stride_Length_Study_Part_I.pdf you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here: http://www1.drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.

Here's our choice this week:

Santa Anita Park, 3rd Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)

There are five BreezeFigs colts in this race, two of which (Najran Breeze and Mr. Sexy) have race records you can examine and eliminate on the spot The other three are all first-time starters who garnered beaucoup bucks at the sales, all of which have a decent shot based on their BreezeFigs profiles and their connections. Everyone is going to pounce on 8-to-5 morning line favorite, Declassify, a $450k OBSAPR number who was a Group 2, even-Par performer with a 25.14 foot SL, a whopping 1.83 foot longer than average for colts that day atone eighth. Another Group 2 from the same sale, Drover Crazy, was two-over-Par with a 24.44 foot SL, which was 1.32 feet longer than average on his day at a furlong. However, we like Scully, who blasted to a Group 1, eight-over-Par profile at BARMAR with a 26.28 foot SL, which was 1.61 feet longer than average that day. This is a key race for late-blooming BreezeFigs horses who have obviously had some problems, so watch the board and gimmick yourself accordingly Good luck!