04/03/2008 11:00PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday, April 5th


Let’s not dwell on last week’s Pix—we’re going off the beaten path with our selections this week, and we need to get to the point. However, to cover our butts for the week, we will point out that though our Pix tanked, there were 10 BreezeFigs-qualified maiden winners during the week including several first-timers and a $62 first-time RNA horse at Oaklawn. And then there was a beast named Big Brown…more about him below.

Remember, our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the DRF.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. .

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website, .

This week’s BreezeFigs card is loaded with opportunities, including maiden races at the three tracks that feature major Kentucky Derby preps—appropriately in the country’s three major cities, New York, Chicago and Los Angeles. We’ll look at those three major races by reviewing the BreezeFigs horses.

What is remarkable is that the parade of BreezeFigs graduates toward the Triple Crown continues with several key horses in these races—and, in case you missed it, current Derby favorite Big Brown, who rolled in the Florida Derby, was right there on your card last week as a Group 2, four-over-Par KEEAPR horse whose 25.81 foot SL helped get him out of trouble from the 12 post.

Now, let’s see what we can discern at Aqueduct, Hawthorne and Santa Anita.

Aqueduct, 9th Race, , 1 1/8 Miles

The prospect of a wet track here throws a lot of the form into the air—except if War Pass returns to his former mud lark self and runs off. Problem here for BreezeFigs players is that the three in the race have holes in them and probably deserve gimmick consideration only. Court Vision is a bit short on SL (he showed 22.62 feet at FTFFEB) but he’s a plodding type who could just keep going and going and he’s bred for the goo. Inner Light had a 26-foot SL at FTFFEB and was six-over-Par, but his ability to go two turns in top company will be tested here. Roman Emperor did well at EASMAY with a Group 1 rating at ¼ mile and a 24.23 foot SL—may be the super or tri saver of the race. All three deserve consideration in what could be a very wide-open event.

Hawthorne, 7th Race, , 1 1/8 Miles

Favorite Denis of Cork had a 26.19 foot SL (1.59 foot above average) at BARMAR and needed every inch of it in his first two starts, but seemed to blossom into his potential last out. Tough to go past, but Recapturetheglory looks to be a potential spoiler if he can be taken under control early. He had a 24.51 foot SL at FTFFEB with a seven-over-Par BreezeFig and has the back form to make things interesting. Atoned showed a very solid 24 foot SL at OBSFEB and had a good overall profile in both his breezes and he’s done OK; Real Appeal did well at EASMAY with a just under 24-foot SL and may get up for part. A tougher race than some might think, though the top two look good to us.

Santa Anita, 6th Race, , 1 1/8 Miles

Five BreezeFigs horses entered here, but two look overmatched on their BreezeFigs profiles and form (Shore Do and Meetingwithdestiny). On the Virg, who was scratched after breezing at KEEAPR, is an enigma because he must have hurt himself in that breeze—his SL was under 22 feet and that’s not exactly Classic territory, though he might have been “ouchy.” El Gato Malo, who was a 95k RNA at OBSMAR, had a four-over-Par Group 2 profile there with a 24.42 SL, ¾ a foot above average for that sale, and he will definitely benefit from his last race. Polonius is the sleeper here—a Group 1, three-over-Par horse at BARMAR with a 25.85 foot SL, he’s been running on the turf, but some of these horses can make the switch to synthetic very easily. He is a horse to consider for the gimmicks, which should definitely include El Gato Malo as a key.

Enjoy the day and good luck!