04/01/2011 11:09AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday April 2nd


Basically left at the gate and breaking from the rail in a five furlong turf dash doomed our sneaky top Pick Turbo Tweaked last week. But the other three we liked for gimmick plays (Hear Me Roar, Maya's Mystery and Frothy Market) finished 2-3-4 behind the luke-warm favorite to complete modest $28, $43, and $157 exactas, trifectas and superfectas. The rest of the card, however, was just spectacular: Cold exactas in the only two races at Aqueduct, a solid winner in the other race at Gulfstream, another one at Golden Gate and two first-time starters at Tampa Bay, including a perfectly reasonable $99 bomb. In all there were 11 maiden races on last week's BreezeFigs card-and six of them went to BreezeFigs horses, three of which were first-time starters. Lots of action coming up today, including another impossible situation, below. Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2010 sales sheets have a major addition in the SALE column: It's now labeled SALE & HIP, the "HIP" referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse's breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There's a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download "2006 Sales Study," or just click right here.

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here.

Here's our Pick for Saturday:

Gulfstream Park, 8th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)
There are four BreezeFigs fillies in here, three of which are first time starters, and those three have two BreezeFigs profiles on the card because they breezed at two separate sales-totally mind blowing, but we will try to help you along. Heir to Dare is the one who's started, and this filly is likely to go off the favorite based on her two runner-up finishes so far which accurately reflect the Group 2, four-over-Par profile she posted at OBSAPR. She had a very good 24.02 foot SL, which was almost a foot longer than average for fillies that day-and yet she was not sold (RNA) on a final bid of 62k. She's the Pick here, but the other three are solid gimmick plays. Top among them might be Silver Speed, who was a 40k RNA at OBSMAR, where she posted an acceptable one-under-Par Group 4 rating at a quarter of a mile with a 23.41 foot SL that was a half-foot above average. She came back at OBSAPR (very unusual to come back that quickly) where her four-over-Par Group 1 rating at three furlongs featured a 24.13 foot SL, also about a half-foot above average, and she was sold for 60k. This one bears watching but may not be too quick out of the gate. Marblehead Harbor posted a perfectly acceptable one-under-Par Group 3 rating at OBSFEB with a 23.86 foot SL (more than a half-foot longer than average), but was a 47k RNA. She came back on the dirt at EASMAY where her Group 2, one-over-Par profile featured an almost identical SL (23.98), about a third of a foot longer than average for fillies at a quarter mile that day, and she was sold for 65k. Finally, Our Year was a modest three-under-Par, Group 3 filly at FTFFEB where her 22.53 SL was a smidge under average-and she was bought back for 70k. Wheeled back in EASMAY, she upped her profile to one-over-Par Group 2 with a 22.98 foot SL that was identical to that of Marblehead Harbor, but hers was at an eighth of a mile and almost three-quarters of a length longer than average for that distance. Ironically, she came nowhere near the 70k they turned down at the first sale and was hammered down for 40k. Complicating matters is that both these fillies are owned by separate interests but have the same trainer, so one might be scratched but keep your eye on the board. In any case, we'd key Heir to Dare with the other three (which might wind up "the other two"). Capeesh?

Good luck!