04/27/2012 10:36AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday April 28th, 2012


Thank you very much, Mr. Baffert, for sending out a horse you both train and own to pass our BreezeFigs Pick, The Brain, a horse you merely train, near the wire last Saturday.  Well, at least those of you who were smart enough to figure out this was a dream box exacta cashed in, albeit at $3.80 for a buck.  Things are tough all over, folks.  There were a half-dozen good BreezeFigs maiden winners during the week on a paucity of cards as some tracks wound down and others prepared to open.  And the good news is that the babies have started to come out with two Group 3 graduates of this year’s sales finishing out of the money, like they should have, at Betfair Hollywood and Keeneland.  More to follow in days and weeks ahead, but not today—we stick with the 3-year-olds, see below.  Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2011 sales sheets have a major change in the NOTES section: The OBSFEB sale was eliminated and combined with OBSMAR, and that forced a re-evaluation of the CLASS EDGE for the various sales.  Pay attention because there has been an upgrade for OBSMAR and a consolidation of categories.

Also, don’t forget the change we made for the 2010 sales sheets (which is also in the 2011 sheets), in the SALE column: It’s now labeled SALE & HIP, the “HIP” referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale.  This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale. 

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here.  Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there.  Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study.  The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this:  When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group.  There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box.  So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races.  Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here.

Here’s our Pick for Saturday:

Tampa Bay Downs, 6th Race, Maiden Claiming (25g), 5 ½  Furlongs (Dirt)

There must have been a vet issue or something else when Don Siete was bought back (RNA) for 3k at OBSAPR last year because this little beast can fly.  He showed it in his Group 1, eight-over-Par performance featuring a solid 23.27 foot SL (.61 foot longer than average). He makes his debut  off a couple of crummy works at a training center, so who knows wassup here?   Watch the board on this one, but at 4-to-1 on the morning line, it looks as though someone other than us might have a clue. Good luck!