04/24/2008 11:00PM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix, Saturday, April 26th


Score two out of three—our first baby race Pix of the year last week yielded two winners at Keeneland and Woodbine, each of whom paid fairly generous prices of six bucks and change given their connections. Interestingly, one was a 170k sale and the other was not listed in the PP’s as having gone through a sale—she was scratched before the sale after breezing, and we told you that and she won. This proves what we have been saying for three years—without BreezeFigs, you are whistling in the dark when it comes to 40% of the 2-year-old sales horses…they are either RNA’s (not sold) or SCR (scratched after breezing) on your card and you need to know this because they win at a remarkable rate.

Remember, our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the DRF.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. .

If you'd like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website, .

This week we have first-timers at Calder, one in a baby race and the other in a 3-y-o maiden special. Good luck!

Calder Race Course, , Maiden Special Weight (3-y-os), 5½ Furlongs

Two first-timers here come out of last year’s OBSAPR sale with virtually identical two-over-Par, Group 2 BreezeFigs profiles and each looks playable. Obscurity showed a bit longer stride—almost a foot over average as opposed to slightly more than 1/3 foot over average for Halo’s Who, and if they’re ready they looks like solid straight and gimmick plays. They may get some noise from Illini Nation, whose three-under-Par Group 3 profile at FTFFEB was really not that bad, and he has shown talent already. El Cesar was compromised in his debut but his four-under-Par OBSMAR profile looks a lit bit weaker all around despite a pretty decent SL during his breeze, after which he was scratched from the sale. As always in these Calder affairs, watch the board.

Calder Race Course, , Maiden Special Weight, (2-y-os) 4½ Furlongs

Only one BreezeFigs horse in here, but Bee Cee Cee looks like he can motor and might be worth a plunge. He breezed twice at OBSFEB this year, on a synthetic surface, and posted a Group 1 profile at both 1/8 and ¼ mile. What’s impressive is that both his SL figures were almost identical relative to the average for colts at that distance on the day he breezed, both slightly above the average, though he earned a much better BreezeFig at a quarter mile. This indicates he can gather himself and stretch out. Only question here is whether he will show the same effort over Calder’s dirt track. Watch the board.