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BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, April 20th
By Bob Fierro
Our Pick last week, Two Comma Guy, was a bit green but still ran creditably to finish third, so watch him in his next start. That advice sometimes pays off: On the same card at Golden Gate, Wildfire Kid, who was our Pick a couple of weeks before, made his second start and came home promptly at $10.80 to win. Considering that there were very few opportunities during the week for BreezeFigs maidens to win, it was a good seven-day period nonetheless. In addition to Wildfire Kid, eight others broke their maidens—two at Aqueduct, one each at Lone Star, Pimlico, and Santa Anita, and three at Oaklawn, including a closing day BreezeFigs exacta that paid $153 (No Distinction and Concorde West). Baby races have begun and as soon as starters who were in this year’s sales show in the entries, you can download those cards as well. Today’s Pick is interesting, see below, Good luck!
Remember to pay attention to two changes we’ve made over the past several years. First, there have been changes in the CLASS EDGE category (at the bottom of the BreezeFigs card) because one sale was eliminated (OBSFEB) and FTFFEB is now in March (FTFMAR), and that moved OBSMAR into a higher class. Also, in the SALE & HIP column: the “HIP” refers to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.
The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/Video_Links_BreezeFigs_for_2009_Sales.pdf. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.
Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.
If you click here http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/BreezeFigs_&_Stride_Length_Study_Part_I.pdf you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.
Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here: http://www1.drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.
Here's our choice this week:
Aqueduct, 5th Race, Maiden Special Weight (New York-Breds), 6 Furlongs (Dirt)
From the people who keep reminding us of the intricacies of the global financial industry comes Asset Inflation, who is the lone BreezeFigs contender in this modest maiden race. He was a Group 1, four-over-Par graduate of last year’s OBSAPR sale, with a solid 23.80 foot stride length, just a tad above average for colts at 1/8 mile that da—and he cost 100k. Since the breeze show for the same sale is going on today, and the sale follows on Monday through Thursday, this might be a hunch bet—but one that if it doesn’t inflate your assets (he’s 5-to-2 in the morning line), might at least jungle the change. Good luck!
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