04/15/2011 10:21AM

BreezeFigs Quick-Pix Saturday April 16th


Sometimes we make the wrong decisions on which races to focus upon, and most of the time our Pix don’t win, and last week is a good example.  We loved first timer Glickman at Aqueduct but chose to go with Irish Frankie at Keeneland to focus on that track’s opening weekend; and Dr Ballenger at Santa Anita because he seemed to be a stick out.  So much for choosing wisely—Glickman hammered at $5.60 and our Pix pooped out.  Not all was lost, however—on Thursday, there were seven maiden races on the card, and four BreezeFigs horses won: both races at Aqueduct, one at Keeneland, and a nice $54 exacta at Pimlico.  And so it goes.  Today’s card is spotty, but there’s an interesting race below.  Good luck!

Before we get to the business of Pix, remember the 2010 sales sheets have a major addition in the SALE column: It’s now labeled SALE & HIP, the “HIP” referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale.  This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale. 

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here.  Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there.  Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here you will get a document which details our latest study.  The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this:  When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group.  There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box.  So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races.  Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.

Here’s our Pick for Saturday:

Santa Anita, 4th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 5 ½ Furlongs (Dirt)

Three of the seven fillies in this mad dash are BreezeFigs horses, and one, Artuya, was a Pick in her debut where she fried herself on the lead on this track in wet-fast conditions.  She shortens up here and might be able to display some of the potential she showed at EASMAY where she rambled to a five-over-Par Group 1 rating with a just about average SL of 23.46 feet.  Free Range came out of the FTFFEB sale with an even-Par Group 2 profile (she was scratched after breezing), but she has shown in her three races that her 21.38 foot SL (1.23 feet below average that day) wastes a lot of energy, so she might be considered only as a suck-up in the gimmick.  The one we really like, however, is Orientatious, who comes in here with a three-over-Par Group 1 rating at OBSMAR where her 23.55 foot SL was a little longer than average that day for fillies.  She’s on the outside and might be in the best position to wear them all down at the end.

Good luck!