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BreezeFigs Quick-Pix for Saturday, April 13th
By Bob Fierro
"Watch the board and gimmick yourself accordingly," was our advice last week and as it turns out, weven through the boom-time winner, Declassify, wasn't our top Pick, our preferredr selections, Drover Crazy and Scully, came through to complete a $10.80 exacta and $73 trifecta.for a buck. Not bad considering. Also not bad considering was the fact that there were seriously few opportunities during the week for BreezeFigs horses to break their maidens, what with fewer cards and many scratches, but a half-dozen others came through. Today we have an interesting one,see below. Good luck!
Fairly decent debut by our Pick last week, Wildfire Kid, who got off slowly, was not rushed, and still managed to get up for third. Sure "key" next time out. There were scant opportunities during the last seven days for BreezeFigs horses to make a lot of noise, but nine of them still came home on top. They ranged from a stingy $2.90 payoff by Risk Management in his second start at Aqueduct on Saturday to a ridiculously generous $28.60 debut by Unfettered at Sunland. The many stakes races on Saturday feature numerous BreezeFigs Pix but we have found a potential goodie in a first timer, see below. Good luck!
Remember like the 2011 the 2012 sales sheets have major changes in the NOTES section: For 2011, the OBSFEB sale was eliminated and combined with OBSMAR, and for 2012, the FTFFEB sale was moved to March, so it is now known as FTFMAR. Both of these changes forced a re-evaluation of the CLASS EDGE for the various sales. Pay attention because there has been an upgrade for OBSMAR and a consolidation of categories.
Also, don’t forget the change we made for the 2010 sales sheets (which is also in the 2011 and 2012 sheets), in the SALE column: It’s now labeled SALE & HIP, the “HIP” referring to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.
The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/Video_Links_BreezeFigs_for_2009_Sales.pdf. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.
Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.
If you click here http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/BreezeFigs_&_Stride_Length_Study_Part_I.pdf you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.
Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here: http://www1.drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.
Here's our choice this week:
Keeneland, 2rd Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Synthetic)
Here's one that is a classic BreezeFigs condundrum: Two Comma Guy earned a four-over-Par, Group 2 profile at FTFMAR last year on the dirt despite a woeful 21.93 foot stride length--almost a foot and a half below average for colts at one-eighth that day. He was not sold (RNA) for $95k. He then wheeled back at EASMAY where he was an even-Par Group 2 with a 24.01 foot SL, just about average for colts at one-eighth that day--and surprisingly, he sold for only 55k, which means something was worng with him somewhere. Now, both of these breezes were on the dirt and he is a smooth mover on that surface. Here he comes, shipping in to Keeneland's synthetic track from Fair Hill's synthetic training facility and he's only 6-to-1 in the morning line for an outfit not usually seen here. What to think? Use him, and if he settles in stride early, he could be very tough through the lane. Good luck!
- 1.Posted 12/05/2013 01:44PM
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