05/10/2013 8:56AM

Breeze-Figs Quick-Pix for Saturday, May 11th


So much for gazelles and giraffes in the mud. Our Derby column last week stated that Revolutionary looks like a combination of those two animals when he tries to settle into stride early, and you could see it clearly in the Derby, floundering early which possibly cost him a closer finish, or the race itself. Well, that’s horse racing as they say. As for BreezeFigs maidens last week, the big news is that the first 2-year-old winner popped up from the 2013 card—Street Icon, at Hollywood, at a very generous $11.60. And he was joined in a stone cold BreezeFigs $60 (for a buck) exacta by Geldautomat (love that name). There were seven BreezeFigs 3-year-olds who also broke their maidens last week—at Arlington, Belmont, Calder, Charles Town, Mountaineer, Pimlico and Woodbine. We can’t get too excited about the lone horse on today’s 2013 card, but there are a couple of good opportunities on the 2012 card, including the one below. Good luck!

Remember to pay attention to two changes we’ve made over the past several years. First, there have been changes in the CLASS EDGE category (at the bottom of the BreezeFigs card) because one sale was eliminated (OBSFEB) and FTFFEB is now in March (FTFMAR), and that moved OBSMAR into a higher class. Also, in the SALE & HIP column: the “HIP” refers to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/Video_Links_BreezeFigs_for_2009_Sales.pdf. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/BreezeFigs_&_Stride_Length_Study_Part_I.pdf you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here: http://www1.drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.

Here's our choice this week:

Belmont Park, 6th Race Maiden Special Weight 7 Furlongs (Dirt)

Charlie’s Picnic had an impressive furlong profile at FTFMAR last year—Group 1, four-over-Par, 23.71 foot stride length, a bit longer than average for the day. He also brought 300k at the hammer, which indicates he was a hot horse. However, our internal numbers show he was slowing down appreciably at the end of that breeze, and sometimes that means ouchiness, or a lack of fitness, or the fact that the horses really isn’t built to burst out and motor. The fact that he’s taken over a year to get to the races, and that he is entered at seven furlongs by a clever outfit, indicates that he will probably not be rushed in his debut. Watch the board, see which others with whom you might hook him up. Good luck!