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Breeze-Figs Quick-Pix for Saturday, June 29th
By Bob Fierro
First some housekeeping: As was suggested to us last year by a loyal reader, we will once again keep the 3-year-old BreezeFigs up through the last day at Saratoga (Labor Day). The dynamics have changed in the racing game and the 2-year-old sales reflect this—there are fewer races early, many of the graduates of these sales take a while to get to the races, and there are plenty of first-time starters that still do well late in their sophomore years. There were nine BreezeFigs maiden winners among this crowd last week, including first-timer Tiz MayWest, a seven-over-Par Group 1 filly at FTFMAR who paid $27 in her debut at Churchill. The other sophomore winners were at Belmont, Calder, Delaware, Hollywood (2), Parx and Woodbine. Among the 2-year-olds, which are now coming out in relative droves, four first-timers broke their maidens, including one at Woodbine in a stakes, and another on the card last Saturday who’d won his debut took a stakes in his second start at Calder. The other maidens won at Belmont, Calder and Churchill. Though our Pick last week wasn’t so prescient, there is plenty of opportunity out there now for good returns, including one below. Good luck!
Remember to pay attention to two changes we’ve made over the past several years. First, there have been changes in the CLASS EDGE category (at the bottom of the BreezeFigs card) because one sale was eliminated (OBSFEB) and FTFFEB is now in March (FTFMAR), and that moved OBSMAR into a higher class. Also, in the SALE & HIP column: the “HIP” refers to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.
The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/Video_Links_BreezeFigs_for_2009_Sales.pdf. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.
Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.
If you click here http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/BreezeFigs_&_Stride_Length_Study_Part_I.pdf you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.
Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here: http://www1.drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.
If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.
Here's Saturday's Pick:
Calder Race Course, 5th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 5 ½ Furlongs (Dirt)
There are three first-time 2-year-olds today that come out of OBSAPR—one at Hollywood, one at Delaware, and one at Calder. We like all three but believe East Hall at Calder offers the best value. This colt went a quarter mile at the sale and earned a one-over-Par Group 1 rating with a 24.22 foot stride length, just over half-a-foot longer than average for colts that day. He is in clever hands and might be an interesting horse to watch for the future, but in here he is a potential key. Watch the board, of course! Good luck!
- 1.Posted 12/10/2013 02:23PM
- 2.Posted 12/09/2013 01:54PM
- 3.Posted 12/10/2013 02:25PM
- 4.Posted 12/10/2013 01:46PM
- 5.Posted 12/10/2013 01:42PM