07/05/2013 10:12AM

Breeze-Figs Quick-Pix for Saturday, July 6th


Our Pick last week ran OK after a slow start, and the week’s results reflect a dramatic shift in the condition books across the country, i.e., the babies are coming out all over the place and a lot 3-year-olds are starting to fade off our cards after four unsuccessful starts, There were only three BreezeFigs 3-year-olds that broke their maidens last week, at Calder, Delaware and Suffolk, but they were all Group 1 or Group 2 runners. Most of the others from those two groups picked up a gimmick placing, while most of the Group 3 and Group 4 runners were unplaced. On the other hand, from fewer opportunities there were five BreezeFigs 2-year-olds that broke their maidens - two at Calder, one each at Churchill, Lone Star and Parx - four of which were in Group 1 or Group 2. The other was a Group 3 that won at maiden claiming on the turf at Lone Star and was the only BreezeFigs horse in the field. Today’s cards are stuffed with opportunities, and we are giving you a quick shot at one of them, see below. Good luck!

Remember to pay attention to two changes we’ve made over the past several years. First, there have been changes in the CLASS EDGE category (at the bottom of the BreezeFigs card) because one sale was eliminated (OBSFEB) and FTFFEB is now in March (FTFMAR), and that moved OBSMAR into a higher class. Also, in the SALE & HIP column: the “HIP” refers to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/Video_Links_BreezeFigs_for_2009_Sales.pdf. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/BreezeFigs_&_Stride_Length_Study_Part_I.pdf you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here: http://www1.drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.

Here’s Saturday’s Pick:
Calder Race Course, 3rd Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)

There are two BreezeFigs horses in this race, both of which have nice profiles. Artempus posted a six-over-Par Group 1 profile at OBSMAR with a 24.96 foot stride length, almost a foot longer than average for colts that day at a furlong. A month later at OBSAPR, Valid Concept racked up a four-over-Par Group 2 profile at the same distance with a 24.56 foot stride length that was 1.24 feet longer than average. These boys are just about even in our book, long-striding colts who may need to settle, but they have six furlongs here and might be able to get it done. Both should be keyed. Good luck!