08/09/2013 9:37AM

Breeze-Figs Quick-Pix for Saturday, August 10, 2013


Sorry about that—we had technical difficulties with our computer in Saratoga last week and couldn’t file this column but things are OK now and we’re ready for another round.  Since August 1st there have been nine BreezeFigs 2-year-olds which have broken their maidens across the land, and from very limited opportunities,  three 3-year-olds (remember, when Saratoga closes, they’ll be gone from the cards). The 2-year-olds won at Saratoga (3), Del Mar (2, including a paltry $75 superfecta), and Arlington, Calder, Delaware, and Woodbine checked in with one each, while two of the 3-year-olds won at Saratoga and the other at Penn National.  In addition, there were three 2-year-old stakes winners on the cards including a 1-3 finish in the Grade 2 Sorrento at Del Mar a couple of days after a 2-3-4 finish in the Grade 2 Best Pal at the same track where our Pick of two weeks ago, Guns Loaded, finished a decent third.  Today’s cards are likely to be impacted by weather in some sections of the country, but we found an intriguing one for you, see below. Good luck!
Remember to pay attention to two changes we’ve made over the past several years.  First, there have been changes in the CLASS EDGE category (at the bottom of the BreezeFigs card) because one sale was eliminated (OBSFEB) and FTFFEB is now in March (FTFMAR), and that moved OBSMAR into a higher class.  Also, in the SALE & HIP column: the “HIP” refers to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/Video_Links_BreezeFigs_for_2009_Sales.pdf. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs “qualified” runners: You can get a good idea of what “qualified” BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/BreezeFigs_&_Stride_Length_Study_Part_I.pdf you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigsInformation, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here: http://www1.drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here: www.biodatatrack.com.

Here’s Saturday’s Pick:
Gulfstream Park, 6th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 5 ½ Furlongs (Dirt)

Every one of the five BreezeFigs colts in this race comes out of the OBSAPR sale, and all are first-timers, but we give the nod to Gelfenstein here based on his solid three-over-Par Group 2 profile at that sale.  He had a 23.91 foot stride length, which was two-thirds of a foot longer than average for colts that day at one furlong.  That compares to Bluegrass Derby’s Group 2 a day later at the same distance where he was a two-over-Par number with a 22.83 foot SL—a half-foot below average for that day.  Gelfenstein was bought back (RNA) for 125k, which doesn’t appear in the PP’s, and Bluegrass Derby was reported as sold for 26k but perhaps the sale was voided and what’s in the PP’s is that he sold as a weanling for fifteen hundred bucks.  The other three in the race—Crown Distinction, Little Rocco and We’re All Set—were all Group 3 at the sale with varying degrees of problems in their profiles but each has a shot to complete a gimmick in this race, so watching the board is critical in this one. Good luck!