04/26/2013 10:10AM

Breeze-Figs Quick-Pix for Saturday, April 27th


Last week's Pick, Asset Inflation, ran creditably to be second in a race where speed held, so tab him back next time. There were seven new BreezeFigs maiden winners from the 2012 sales during the week at Aqueduct, Calder (2), Hollywood, Parx, Pimlico, and Prairie Meadows (it was a $19.80 BreezeFigs exacta). But the real news is that the first two entries from the 2013 sales appeared late in the week, both at Hollywood. On Thursday, a Group 4 filly from BARMAR, Ninnavee, ran third, which is expected. Since this column is written Friday, you might want to look at the second at Hollywood today and get down on Tom Kha, a nice Group 1 from the same sale. Meanwhile, we’ve got a very interesting Pick today from the 2012 sales, see below. Good luck!

Remember to pay attention to two changes we’ve made over the past several years. First, there have been changes in the CLASS EDGE category (at the bottom of the BreezeFigs card) because one sale was eliminated (OBSFEB) and FTFFEB is now in March (FTFMAR), and that moved OBSMAR into a higher class. Also, in the SALE & HIP column: the “HIP” refers to the catalogue number for that horse in that sale. This reference will enable you to go to the website of the sales company involved and easily find the short video of the horse’s breeze at that sale.

The web links for each sale are listed in the NOTES section of the new BreezeFigs Report and you will find all the information as to why we have done this and how you can benefit from this addition to the service by downloading the document which explains it all here: http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/Video_Links_BreezeFigs_for_2009_Sales.pdf. Remember, no other handicapping service can give you the advantages you need from 2-year-old sales, So sign up for DRF-Plus on the front page of www.drf.com and get the BreezeFigs cards.

Our rules still hold about BreezeFigs "qualified" runners: You can get a good idea of what "qualified" BreezeFigs horses are by clicking on BreezeFigs Information underneath the two BreezeFigs links in the DRF-PLUS box in the right hand column on the www.drf.com home page and downloading files there. Remember, keep stride length (SL) in mind when handicapping from the BreezeFigs sheet and take advantage of all the tips that we provide on those sheets as well.

If you click here http://www1.drf.com/BreezeFigs/BreezeFigs_&_Stride_Length_Study_Part_I.pdf you will get a document which details our latest study. The conclusion for those who like to know the bottom line fast is this: When it comes to 2-year-old racing only, horses that earned Group 1 or Group 2 BreezeFigs and had longer-than-average stride lengths at the five major 2-year-old sales of 2006-07-08-09 won more races, won earlier, and earned more black-type, than horses with shorter-than-average stride lengths, regardless of BreezeFigs Group. There’s a lot more to it than that, and a review of this document, which is the first in a series, will strengthen your hand at the windows, or, if you are a buyer, at the sales or claim box. So, download it and absorb.

Also, refer to a study we did which shows that using BreezeFigs for 3-year-old maiden races in just as viable as using them for 2-year-old maiden races. Go to the DRF PLUS box on the www.drf.com home page, click on BreezeFigs™ Information, and then download “2006 Sales Study,” or just click right here: http://www1.drf.com/breezefigs/breezefigs_010507.doc.

If you’d like to learn a little more about how we come up with BreezeFigs, take a look at our new website by clicking here:www.biodatatrack.com.

Here's our choice this week:

Belmont Park, 6th Race, Maiden Special Weight, 6 Furlongs (Dirt)

This race features the debuts of two interesting horses from different sales from last year, one of which blew the doors off on the price list, the other of which was a modest purchase whom we may have liked better. Oldwick pulled $825,000 out of his bidder’s pocket at FTFMAR after registering a nice four-over-Par, Group 2 profile on that dirt surface with a 24.21 foot SL, which was .82 feet longer than average for colts that day at one furlong. Nice colt, but a shocker at the price considering his pedigree. He’s in the right barn, and there is no doubt he will be heavily played. However. There’s another one in here that came out of the decidedly less tony EASMAY sale with a better profile—Mr. Anonymity, a Group 1, seven-over-Par $48k purchase on that dirt surface where his 25.33 foot SL was 1.23 feet longer than the average for colts that day at one eighth. Now, there is no question that the quality level of the FTFMAR sale is a notch above (or sometimes two) EASMAY, but we liked the way Mr. Anonymity moved in Maryland and he might be able to use that efficiency here to get a gimmick slice, or the whole thing. Watch the board, bet accordingly, and welcome back, Belmont Park! Good luck!