10/25/2012 1:54PM

Breeders' Cup: Uncovering the live longshots

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Mike Marten
Arcangues springs the biggest upset in Breeders' Cup history, winning the 1993 Classic at 133-1.

Breeders’ Cup history is replete with longshot winners ranging from lone speed, to overlooked imports, to horse-for-course specialists.

Didn’t have Adoration in the 2003 Distaff? Few did, although her $83.40 payoff might have been a bonanza for bettors that appreciate Santa Anita lone speed.

A creative handicapper could have backed Red Rocks in the 2006 Turf. After all, he hit the board in four straight Group 1 or 2 races in England before springing a $23.60 upset at Churchill Downs.

How about Desert Code in the 2008 Turf Sprint? He was playable strictly on the horse-for-course angle. Despite a 3-for-5 record on the unique Santa Anita hill, including two stakes wins, Desert Code paid $75.

Even the biggest BC shocker of all was not impossible. Arcangues arrived in fall 1993 from France, where four months earlier he won a Group 1 for legendary Andre Fabre. A surface-switch longshot with class credentials, Arcangues won the Classic at $269.20.

[BREEDERS' CUP PPs: Visit DRF's official BC Handicapping Center]

Welcome to the Breeders’ Cup, where good horses at big prices are a horseplayer’s dream come true.

It happens every year. In 15 BC races over two days, legitimate contenders slip through the cracks. Hindsight handicapping makes it easy to look back and recognize longshot winners that, regrettably, could have been played.

The challenge is to look ahead at "live" longshot that, this time, will be played.

Daily Racing Form reporters covering the 15 BC races have uncovered potential nuggets. Some will finish up the track, while others are certain to outrun their odds. And it might only take one longshot winner to turn the 2012 Breeders’ Cup into something memorable.

It might be an underrated import in the Filly & Mare Turf. Maybe a surface-switch longshot in the Juvenile Fillies can knock off the favorites, or an outsider in the Ladies’ Classic that is better than her last race appears.

Is there an improving 3-year-old that can surprise the Classic or Dirt Mile? Is a shipper with the highest last-race speed figure worth backing in the Sprint? And only one pre-entered colt in the Juvenile has run all his races without Lasix. Does he have an edge?

The live longshots are out there. Let’s look at a few.
− Brad Free

 

JUVENILE SPRINT

Super Ninety Nine
Last race:
Maiden special weight (Oct. 7, Santa Anita)
Finish: 1st by 1 1/4
With the fillies Beholder and Kauai Katie both likely to attract much of the mutuel play in the Juvenile Sprint, Bob Baffert’s Super Ninety Nine may fall under the radar. Baffert won the inaugural running of this race last year with Secret Circle, and Super Ninety Nine was an impressive first-out winner over the Santa Anita strip Oct. 7. Although a bit green, Super Ninety Nine handled the difficult debut distance of seven furlongs with aplomb. He battled with odds-on favorite Quietasacat for a half-mile before assuming command for good entering the stretch. A half-brother to six-time stakes winner Elusive Horizon, a winner at distances ranging from five furlongs to 1 1/8 miles, Super Ninety Nine sold for $200,000 as a yearling before being purchased for $260,000 in June.

Ceiling Kitty
Last race:
Cheveley Park (Sept. 29, Newmarket)
Finish: 7th by 2 1/2
In last year’s Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Sprint, an unheralded European filly, Shumoos, rallied boldly for second in her first start on dirt. Like Shumoos, Ceiling Kitty is a group winner in Europe (the Group 2 Queen Mary at Royal Ascot) and has won over an all-weather surface. While Ceiling Kitty doesn’t boast Shumoos’s Americanized pedigree − Shumoos was bred in Pennsylvania, after all − she is by the good Group 1 turf sprinter Red Clubs out of a Tale of the Cat half-sister to the multiple Group 3 Japanese turf sprinter One Carat. Ceiling Kitty, of course, ran without raceday medication in Europe, and the Breeders’ Cup’s ban on Lasix for this year’s juvenile events may place her at a slight advantage. The pace should be hot in the Juvenile Sprint, and Ceiling Kitty is a candidate to pick up some of the pieces, at the very least.
− Dan Illman
 

MARATHON

Juniper Pass
Last race:
Bull Dog Handicap (Oct. 14, Fresno)
Finish: 2nd by 1/2
Juniper Pass may not be as talented as some of his expected competition in the Marathon, but he does effectively handle a distance of ground. A 5-year-old gelding by 1999 Belmont Stakes winner Lemon Drop Kid, Juniper Pass has improved his form each time more distance has been added to his races, dating back to the fall of his 3-year-old season, when he stretched out to 1 1/4 miles to win an allowance race and then finished a close third in the Grade 1 Hollywood Derby. Last year Juniper Pass won the Grade 2 San Luis Rey over 1 1/2 miles on Santa Anita’s main track and then stretched out to the Marathon distance of 1 3/4 miles to win the San Juan Capistrano on turf. After recovering from a knee injury, Juniper Pass will be making his third start back from a short layoff in the Marathon. 
− Mike Beer
 

JUVENILE FILLIES TURF

Tara From the Cape
Last race: 
Alcibiades (Oct. 5, Keeneland)
Finish: 4th by 4
She romped in her turf debut in a minor stakes around two turns at Delaware before finishing a prominent third behind the talented duo of Watsdachances and Broken Spell in the P.G. Johnson Stakes at Saratoga. Watsdachances went on to an impressive win in the Grade 3 Miss Grillo at Belmont. A daughter of the brilliant turf miler Leroidesanimaux, Tara From the Cape is trained by Todd Pletcher, who won the 2010 BC Juvenile Fillies Turf at Churchill with More Than Real.

Nancy O
Last race:
Frizette (Oct. 6, Belmont)
Finish: Eased
An Irish-bred out of the multiple Grade 1 stakes winner Arravale, a Canadian turf champion, this maiden was second vs. males second time out, in the allowance prep for the Grade 2 Summer Stakes at Woodbine. She was a troubled third behind future graded stakes winners Spring Venture and Spring in the Air in the Grade 2 Natalma Stakes, which has been the most successful prep for the BC Juvenile Fillies Turf in recent years. She didn’t handle the sandy Belmont main track when she was improperly spotted in the Grade 1 Frizette, and coming into the BC with a horrendous recent running line on her record should ensure a huge price. 

Moulin de Mougin
Last race: Maiden special weight (Oct. 7, Santa Anita)
Finish: 1st by 1
She ran big following a two-month break second time out over the hillside turf course at Santa Anita on Oct. 7, when she captured a maiden special sprint comfortably. She is a daughter of Cambiocorsa, who was a multiple stakes winner going down the hill, and Cambiocorsa’s half-brother California Flag won the 2009 BC Turf Sprint at Santa Anita. She figures to get some stamina from her freshman sire, classic winner Curlin. Her esteemed trainer, Richard Mandella, has done well with 2-year-old BC starters, so this gal might be ready for prime time.
− Ron Gierkink
 

JUVENILE FILLIES

Spring in the Air
Last race:
 Alcibiades (Oct. 5, Keeneland)
Finish: 1st by 1
Spring in the Air is a Grade 1 winner who could end up starting as fourth or fifth choice in the Juvenile Fillies behind Executiveprivilege, Dreaming of Julia, Beholder, and Kauai Katie (if the latter two do not opt for the Juvenile Sprint). She is an efficient mover who showed athleticism in the Alcibiades, weaving through a 14-horse field before bursting to the lead. She now makes the Polytrack-to-dirt switch, which can sometimes produce a surge in performance, and in preparation for her dirt debut she has been training at Churchill Downs. Spring in the Air can also be closer to the pace than she was in the Alcibiades, and note with that start she proved she can ship and win; she had previously been based at Woodbine.

Broken Spell
Last race: 
Alcibiades (Oct. 5, Keeneland)
Finish: 2nd by 1
Broken Spell is well versed at the 1 1/16-mile distance of the Juvenile Fillies, with four of her six starts coming at the trip. She won her maiden at 1 1/16 miles on turf at Saratoga, then ran second in consecutive stakes at the distance, the P.G. Johnson on turf and the Alcibiades on Polytrack. While she is unplaced on dirt, her races over it were sprints, and she has proved to be at her best at two turns.
Broken Spell also is the lone Juvenile Fillies entrant with some Lasix-free form. She raced without Lasix in her first three starts, with her best effort coming in her two-turn debut, when she was fifth, beaten two lengths, in a maiden special weight at Saratoga. Broken Spell’s trainer, D. Wayne Lukas, is a Hall of Famer who has been known to pull off upsets at major racing events.        
− Mary Rampellini
 

FILLY AND MARE TURF

Zagora
Last race:
 Flower Bowl (Sept. 29, Belmont)
Finish: 2nd by 1/2
Widely considered one of the best turf fillies in the country at a mile to 1 1/8 miles, she could get overlooked somewhat in the Filly and Mare Turf, with the public questioning her ability to stay the 1 1/4-mile distance. But by running second over a yielding turf course in the Grade 1 Flower Bowl in her one U.S. start at 1 1/4 miles, she proved capable of competing against the very best at the distance and did so despite racing wide and under tiring ground. On a dry, firm course – conditions typical in California in the fall – she should be even more effective, as noted by her course-record-setting victory in the 1 1/8-mile Ballston Spa on a sun-baked Saratoga turf course in 1:39.07. That performance earned her a 103 Beyer Speed Figure, the highest figure posted by any Filly and Mare Turf entrant.

Up
Last race:
 Sun Chariot (Sept. 29, Newmarket)
Finish: 6th by 4 3/4
A winner of two group races in Ireland this fall, she failed to fire in her most recent start when she faced some of the top female milers in Europe in the Sun Chariot, finishing sixth. As a result she is expected to go off as a longshot in the Breeders’ Cup Filly and Mare Turf. For those willing to excuse that race – it was her fourth race in just 42 days – she has appeal as a value play. She is a winner at the 1 1/4-mile race distance and has Racing Post ratings of 113 or higher in four races this year. By way of comparison, I’m a Dreamer had run a Racing Post rating of 114 before winning the Grade 1 Beverly D. this summer, and Nahrain won the Grade 1 Flower Bowl this fall after posting a 110 Racing Post rating in her previous race in Ireland. 
− Byron King
 

LADIES’ CLASSIC

Include Me Out
Last race:
Zenyatta (Sept. 29, Santa Anita)
Finish: 3rd by 3 3/4
Include Me Out remains California’s top main-track female. This is true despite her third-place finish behind two shippers in the Zenyatta, a race that may have exposed her as short of Breeders’ Cup-caliber. However, Include Me Out did not have a fair shot in the Zenyatta. The pace was slow, and as a late-runner she was compromised by a speed-friendly surface. Closers made no impact.
No problem. That race was designed as merely a prep race for Include Me Out, anyway. It disguises her form, and Include Me Out might be a lot better than her most recent start suggests. She romped twice in winter at Santa Anita and faces a Ladies’ Classic field with sufficient pace to run at. Furthermore, the Santa Anita surface recently has been less biased. Include Me Out’s odds should be high because of her prep-race defeat and modest speed figures.
− Brad Free

DRF WEEKEND: Breeders' Cup: Game On Dude blossoms into Classic favorite

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JUVENILE TURF

Gervinho
Last race:
Zuma Beach (Oct. 8, Santa Anita)
Finish: 1st by 1/2
In a race where talented Europeans runners such as Dundonnell, Artigiano, and Fantastic Moon are likely to attract considerable betting action, a few capable American representatives might fall through the cracks. Gervinho is one such runner. He is 2 for 2, and he won the Zuma Beach Stakes, the local prep for this event run at the same distance over the same course as the Juvenile Turf.
On the other hand, the Zuma Beach was not a graded race, Gervinho is a California-bred, and both of his wins were narrow in nature. Those factors, combined with the strength of the European contingent, suggest that Gervinho might actually reach double-digit odds. But keep in mind − his Zuma Beach victory was narrow, but the running line on paper doesn’t do justice to the way he actually ran. Gervinho won that race with a powerful late kick that was very impressive visually.

Dry Summer
Last race:
Front Runner (Sept. 29, Santa Anita)
Finish: 8th by 20 1/2
Dry Summer is another colt who might be overlooked in the betting. His most recent running line, an eighth in the FrontRunner Stakes, might throw folks off the trail because it was, frankly, ugly. But that race was on dirt. Two starts back, in his only start on turf, Dry Summer won the Oak Tree Juvenile Turf over Power Broker. Notably, Power Broker came back to romp in the FrontRunner.
− Mike Watchmaker
 

FILLY AND MARE SPRINT

Dust and Diamonds
Last race:
Gallant Bloom Handicap (Sept. 22, Belmont)
Finish: 1st by 1 1/4
Groupie Doll has won her four starts in blinkers by more than 20 lengths and is a stick-out based on a 112 earned in the Humana Distaff, her last seven-furlong dirt race. A (very) short list of plausible alternatives is headed by Dust and Diamonds, a relative unknown who overcame a lack of graded-stakes experience to win the Gallant Bloom in pace-pressing style. She has abundant natural speed, and there isn’t an overwhelming amount of that in this matchup, particularly if Reneesgotzip opts out in favor of the Turf Sprint. At the bottom line, Dust and Diamonds is fast, fresh, and fit and appears to be sitting on a peak effort for top connections after a well-regarded workout Oct. 21. Her five wins have come at five tracks, and she has won three straight since getting caught up in a vicious speed duel at Santa Anita last winter.
− Dave Litfin


SPRINT

The Lumber Guy
Last race:
Vosburgh (Sept. 29, Belmont)
Finish: 1st by 1 1/4
Although The Lumber Guy enters the Sprint off a Grade 1 win, he is likely to be overlooked somewhat in the wagering with Bob Baffert’s trio and defending champ Amazombie all having the home-court advantage in this race. But The Lumber Guy is a lightly raced 3-year-old coming off far and away the best race of his career, and he is eligible to move forward if he can handle the Santa Anita surface as well as he did the Belmont strip in his last start. After proving he could stalk and pounce in the Vosburgh, he is likely to sit a similar trip behind the speed of Sum of the Parts, Trinniberg, and Fast Bullet in the Sprint. He has never been beaten around one turn and should be right there at the end if he can repeat his last.

Jimmy Creed
Last race:
Santa Anita Sprint Championship (Oct. 6, Santa Anita)
Finish: 3rd by 3/4
A 3-year-old, Jimmy Creed has come a long way in a short time and is getting better with every start. In his last start he held his own against the older Coil and Capital Account in the Sprint Championship, his Grade 1 debut. Despite seemingly spinning his wheels a little in the early going, when he dropped near the rear of the pack after a good beginning, he finished willingly from some tight quarters in what may have been the deeper going on the rail. He is from a barn that knows how to have a horse ready for a peak performance on Breeders’ Cup Day and owns a little home-court advantage, but he is likely to be the most overlooked of the Southern California-based speedsters in this year’s Sprint lineup.
− Mike Welsch


TURF SPRINT

Great Mills
Last race:
Woodford (Oct. 6, Keeneland)
Finish: 2nd by 1
The field of horses pre-entered for the Turf Sprint does not have an overwhelming amount of pace, which is just fine for Great Mills. He’ll need as much help as he can get in terms of the race flow. He’s never tried 6 1/2 furlongs and will try to go farther than 5 1/2 furlongs for the first time since August 2011, although he has won at longer distances in his career. In his latest, he was behind Bridgetown but had a more difficult trip, dueling for the lead from the start while Bridgetown enjoyed a clean stalking trip. If he can shake loose, he obviously has license to last for a large share, and given his ability to rate he becomes a threat even if he’s simply up close and the fractions are mild.

Mizdirection
Last race:
Great Lady M (May 27, Hollywood)
Finish: 2nd by 1 1/4
She’s a filly meeting males, and she hasn’t raced since May. But Mizdirection is a runner, with Beyers that stack up well with the top contenders in this group, and some of the best races of her career have come off a layoff. Like most effective turf sprinters, she can adapt to any pace scenario, and she is proven under these conditions, having won both of her tries at 6 1/2 furlongs over the downhill course at Santa Anita. The figures she posted in those wins − a 96 and a 95 − seem good enough to win this, and if trainer Mike Puype has her 100 percent, as expected, she may be able to run back to those Beyers. She’s usually well bet, but the long hiatus and big jump in class figure to throw some bettors off her scent.
− Kenny Peck
 

DIRT MILE

Rail Trip
Last race:
Awesome Again (Sept. 29, Santa Anita)
Finish: 4th by 8
In his 17 starts for trainer Ron Ellis, Rail Trip has never run a Beyer Speed Figure lower than 93 and has a career high of 111. Of course, it’s going to take a big Beyer to win a BC race, and Ellis is doing all he can to have this 7-year-old gelding ready to run the race of his life: His Oct. 17 work at Betfair Hollywood Park was from the gate and at a quick half-mile pace in an overt attempt to “sharpen him up,” Ellis said. Blessed with the kind of tactical speed that often wins this kind of race, Rail Trip figures to be mid-pack through the early stages of the Dirt Mile. If he kicks in with his best, his likely price of 12-1 or so should start looking pretty good.

Tapizar
Last race:
Kelso Mile (Sept. 29, Belmont)
Finish: 6th by 20 3/4
Trainer Steve Asmussen seemed somewhat in disbelief that Tapizar ran as poorly as he did over “Big Sandy” in the Kelso at Belmont Park, and he wanted to see how the colt trained in subsequent weeks at Santa Anita before putting a big red line through that race and committing him to the Dirt Mile. Asmussen also can’t forget how huge Tapizar has run in his two victories over the Santa Anita dirt, in the Sham Stakes at 3 and the San Fernando earlier this year. So after three sharp works by the colt, ending with a six-furlong drill Oct. 22, Asmussen said, “We’re in.” In a race where the favorites have not proved overly dominant, Tapizar could be a genuine sleeper, presumably in the 12-1 range.
− Marty McGee
 

TURF

Slim Shadey
Last race:
John Henry Turf Championship (Sept. 30, Santa Anita)
Finish: 1st by 2 1/4
For a horse who won the local prep for the Breeders’ Cup Turf, Slim Shadey will be somewhat ignored Nov. 3. He does not have a win in a Grade 1 and has never run over 1 1/2 miles on turf. But he has one advantage − he can lead. Slim Shadey has proved to be brave in front in races over 1 1/4 miles at Santa Anita this year. He won the Grade 2 San Marcos Stakes in January and the John Henry Turf Championship in September. In between, he was winless in five races – three second-place finishes in Grade 1 or Grade 2 races and two fifth-place finishes in Grade 1 races. It is worth noting that he was second by a head in the Grade 2 San Luis Rey Stakes over 1 1/2 miles at Santa Anita, a race in which jockey David Flores may have moved to the front too soon.

Trailblazer
Last race: Arroyo Seco Mile (Oct. 6, Santa Anita)
Finish: 2nd by 1/2
Race conditions in the Turf may be ideal for Trailblazer. He will run over 1 1/2 miles and be treated with Lasix for the second time in his career, factors that can only help. Trailblazer was fourth in the 2011 Japan Cup and has won two Grade 2 races in Japan, most recently in February. He made one more start there this year, finishing ninth in the Grade 2 Meguro Kinen in May. After that he was rested for the fall. A second to Obviously in the Arroyo Seco Mile at Santa Anita came in the shortest race of Trailblazer’s 21-race career. He still finished with interest and can do so at a price in the Turf.
− Steve Andersen
 

JUVENILE

Fortify
Last race:
Champagne (Oct. 6, Belmont)
Finish: 3rd by 6
A Godolphin-owned son of Distorted Humor, he was favored against Shanghai Bobby in the Grade 2 Hopeful but finished second to him while being stuck on the inside early on. Fortify finished third to Shanghai Bobby in the Champagne, a race run like a merry-go-round, with everybody basically finishing where they started, aside from Shanghai Bobby passing Goldencents. Breeding suggests Fortify should appreciate the stretchout to 1 1/16 miles. His Tomlinson distance rating of 397 is tops among the pre-entered runners. He hails from top-flight connections in trainer Kiaran McLaughlin and jockey Ramon Dominguez, who won last year’s Juvenile aboard Hansen. Fortify will be the only member of the field who is not coming off Lasix – he has not raced on the diuretic in any of this three starts.

Title Contender
Last race:
maiden (Sept. 29, Santa Anita)
Finish: 1st by 2 3/4
From the same connections as probable second choice Power Broker, he finished in front of Power Broker when the two ran third and fourth in a productive maiden race July 28 at Del Mar. The winner of that race, Dry Summer, came back to win the Oak Tree Juvenile Turf; Power Broker won the FrontRunner; and Title Contender won a maiden race. For Title Contender’s second start, trainer Bob Baffert put blinkers on the colt and stretched him out to a mile Sept. 29. While he benefited from a speed-favoring surface, Title Contender proved he could handle two turns and galloped out extremely well. Like Power Broker, he is a son of Pulpit and his dam, Winter Garden, did win 12 of 18 starts, though all of her wins came sprinting. Title Contender could get lost in the wagering behind Shanghai Bobby, Power Broker, and Capo Bastone.

He’s Had Enough
Last race:
Breeders’ Futurity (Oct. 6, Keeneland)
Finish: 11th by 4 1/2
He had a nightmarish trip in the Breeders’ Futurity − off slowly, steadied early down the backside, then played bumper cars with horses on either side of him in upper stretch. Though He’s Had Enough was also pre-entered in the Juvenile Turf, his connections, owner Paul Reddam and trainer Doug O’Neill, made the Juvenile first preference. They did the reverse with Know More, who was second in the FrontRunner on dirt. Reddam upset the 2004 Juvenile with Wilko, who at 28-1 was the longest shot on the board in an eight-horse field. Wilko, like He’s Had Enough, had never been on dirt before the Juvenile.
– David Grening


MILE

Moonlight Cloud
Last race:
Prix du Moulin (Sept. 16, Longchamp)
Finish: 1st by a head
Moonlight Cloud showed in 2011 that she was a crack sprinter, but it wasn’t until September that she demonstrated she might be equally effective at one mile. She tried that trip for the first time this year Aug. 12 in the Jacque le Marois at Deauville, finishing fourth behind three good horses – Excelebration, Cityscape, and Elusive Kate – while enduring the worst trip of the four. The performance encouraged trainer Freddie Head to try the one-mile Prix du Moulin de Longchamp, which she won over the high-class Godolphin runner Farhh. While Moonlight Cloud doesn’t seem to want much more than one mile, two turns on a tight, fast-playing U.S. course could really suit her, and as perhaps the fourth choice in a Mile where Wise Dan and Excelebration will dominate the betting, she could be worth a play.
− Marcus Hersh
 

CLASSIC

Nonios
Last race:
Awesome Again (Sept. 29, Santa Anita)
Finish: 2nd by 3 1/4
He also was pre-entered in the Dirt Mile and could go there, but he merits a long look for the exotics in the Classic should he start there Nov. 3. Excellent runner-up finishes in the Awesome Again, behind Game On Dude, and the Haskell, behind Paynter, prove he can act with the best on his day. His sire, Pleasantly Perfect, won the Classic at Santa Anita in 2003.

Pool Play
Last race:
Hawthorne Gold Cup (Oct. 6, Hawthorne)
Finish: 1st by 1/2
Most of his career has been spent on synthetics, so his form is masked. Do not overlook the fact that in his 32-race career he has won the only two times he has run on dirt, in the Hawthorne Gold Cup and in last year’s Stephen Foster. His style is to take back and make one run, so look for him to come flying late and possibly be a knockout horse in the gimmicks.
− Jay Privman 


BREEDERS' CUP: ALL-TIME BIGGEST PAYOUTS

Race Winners

Horse Year Race $2 payout
Arcangues 1993 Classic $269.20
Court Vision 2011 Mile $131.60
Spain 2000 Distaff $113.80
Lashkari 1984 Turf $108.80
One Dreamer 1994 Distaff $96.20
Caressing 2000 Juvenile Fillies $96
Shared Account 2010 Filly and Mare Turf $94
Miss Alleged 1991 Turf $86.20
Afleet Again 2011 Marathon $85.20
Adoration 2003 Distaff $83.40

 
Superfecta

Year Race Winner 2nd 3rd 4th $2 payout
1999 Classic Cat Thief, 19.60 Budroyale, 26.50 Golden Missile, 75.30 Chester House, 63.60 $1,385,814
2000 Turf Kalanisi, 4.60 Quiet Resolve, 41.90 John's Call, 7.60 Mutamam, 37.10 $199,626
2006 Sprint Thor's Echo, 15.60 Friendly Island, 58.60 Nightmare Affair, 29.10 Bordonaro, 4.10 $113,911.80
2004 Mile Singletary, 16.50 Antonius Pius, 31.40 Six Perfections, 5.90 Soaring Free, 10.90 $107,388
2006 Mile Miesque's Approval, 24.30 Aragorn, 4.00 Badge of Silver, 14.60 Sleeping Indian, 21.50 $98,585.40
2011 Juvenile Turf Wrote, 11.60 Excaper, 33.00 Farraaj, 8.40 Lucky Chappy, 12.40 $90,140.40
2003 Mile Six Perfections, 5.30 Touch of the Blues, 11.90 Century City, 39.00 Irish Warrior, 32.90 $78,466.20
2010 Dirt Mile Dakota Phone, 37.70 Morning Line, 5.80 Gayego, 9.20 Cool Coal Man, 33.00 $73,767.60
2003 Sprint Cajun Beat, 22.80 Bluesthestandard, 13.70 Shake You Down, 3.50 Posse, 23.50 $62,293.60
2008 Turf Sprint Desert Code, 36.50 Diabolical, 5.50 Storm Treasure, 16.10 Fleeting Spirit, 4.40 $59,326.60

Odds to $1

Pick Six

Year Winning horses # of tickets Handle Payout
1999 Mile: Silic, 7.20 1 $5,436,691 $3,058,138.60
  Sprint: Artax, 3.70      
  F&M Turf: Soaring Softly, 3.60      
  Juvenile: Anees, 30.30      
  Turf: Daylami, 1.60      
  Classic: Cat Thief, 19.60      
2003 Mile: Six Perfections, 5.30 1 $4,489,454 $2,687,611.20
  Sprint: Cajun Beat, 22.80      
  F&M Turf: Islington, 2.90      
  Juvenile: Action This Day, 26.80      
  Turf: Johar, 14.20/High Chaparral, 4.90      
  Classic: Pleasantly Perfect, 14.20      
2009 Sprint: Dancing In Silks, 25.30 1 $3,313,244 $1,838,305.20
  Juvenile: Vale of York, 30.60      
  Mile: Goldikova, 1.40      
  Dirt Mile: Furthest Land, 21.30      
  Turf: Conduit, .90      
  Classic: Zenyatta, 2.80      

Odds to $1

John Horgdal More than 1 year ago
What happened to Last Tycoon? In your list of all-time-high win payoffs you fail to mention a win in The Mile at 65-to-1. I think it was in the early 90s...
Perl More than 1 year ago
Last Tycoon was 35.90-1.
Dave Schuler More than 1 year ago
Rich Mig-says spring venture looks best to him (good enough for me )-lolk-DS
Craig Barron More than 1 year ago
Keep up the great work. Neat concept for sure. I as well would buy a digest every weekend for a feature like this.
Daniel Peters More than 1 year ago
I was there, great race. Mr Mike Smith did the job..A former Canterbury Park rider.
RailbirdPete More than 1 year ago
Hey Guys...This is a neat concept...Why not assign this panel to do a "sleepers" report for Sat and Sun cards and post in every Sat in DRF...I would buy DRF every Sat and Sun looking for live longshots...I don't have the time or resourses to uncover this type of info..Great Stuff!! I love live longshots!! Pete
PeterG More than 1 year ago
Some good info on the 9 Aiden O'Brien horses coming to the Breeders Cup in this article below. http://www.independent.ie/sport/horse-racing/obrien-gunning-for-breeders-glory-3271759.html
James Root More than 1 year ago
Only one angle led to Arcangues in '93. Don't let Jerry Bailey win without me.
David More than 1 year ago
Very interested to see how the BC plays out. Being an avid bettor from NYC, Chad Brown is the talk of the town and in combination with JJ Castellano and R Dom, it will be a dangerous meet to tip toe through the tulips and bang out some longshots.
Roman Fedyna More than 1 year ago
Some early touts: * CA horses won 5 BC races in 2008 and 4 races in 2009. Trips over the track matter greatly. * Euros won most turf races. Final fractions, quickest LP are keys to turf races. * 62% of top 4 finishers in last years BC races were stalkers. * Qualifiers/winners in short fields, 6 or less, seldom do well in big BC fields. * Layoffs over 6 weeks are dubious unless trainer has very good layoff record. * Be wary of AW to real dirt horses. Hard to overcome unnatural (negative) speed bias of fake dirt. Dullahan, perfect example.
PeterG More than 1 year ago
Treasure Beach had a significant change of form in his last race finishing only 1.75 lengths from A Point Taken ,the favorite in the Turf. He's been very mediocre in 2012 before that last race. Read a quote from Aiden O'Brien, who called it his "best race of his career" and that he's been doing even better since then. Treasure Beach might go off around 10-1. If he goes off at that price he's a decent longshot with a chance.
cory s More than 1 year ago
Perfect Shirl was pretty easy last year if you watched the preps. She was pinballed 2 x in stretch of the Canadian Stakes and then proceeded to close 10 lengths anyway. Gee wonder what happens if she get s a clean trip with some guy named JR getting on her for the 1st time....