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REPORTS PICKS Harness PPs - Events
- Breeding
10/29/2012 6:26PM
Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint: California Flag's task made more difficult by post 1
By Marcus Hersh
Email
ARCADIA, Calif. – If California Flag wins the Breeders’ Cup Turf Sprint for the second time in a long career at age 8, he will have to turn in a spectacular performance after drawing the rail in a 14-horse field.
While the inside post has won at an 11-percent clip (70-637) in all 6 1/2-furlong turf races at Santa Anita since 2007, a speed horse – like California Flag – breaking from the fence in a race run on the unusual downhill course here faces an especially daunting task. And California Flag’s situation is made all the more difficult by the presence of some brilliantly quick horses drawn to his outside, horses like Great Mills in post 3, and Reneesgotzip in post 7.
One horse whose connections wanted to run in the Turf Sprint, Boxeur des Rues, was excluded from the oversubscribed race. Global Power is the first also-eligible, and can get into the race if anyone scratches, while Starspangled Heat is the second also-eligible.
The Turf Sprint has never been won by an international shipper and includes only one such starter this year, the Aidan O’Brien-trained Starspangledbanner, who will break from post 14.
Whoever winds up going favored in the Turf Sprint – and that horse’s identity isn’t obvious: Bridgetown? Unbridled’s Note? – is unlikely to be a shorter price than something like 5-1. Bridgetown has a good draw in post 9 and has won three turf-sprint stakes this year, but while he ran well in his lone prior Santa Anita grass race, finishing second in the 2009 Juvenile Turf, that race was a two-turn mile, and Bridgetown has no experience going “down the hill.”
Unbridled’s Note made his turf debut here Sept. 28 and won the Eddie D Stakes racing on the downhill course.
“There’s a ton of speed in the race,” said trainer Steve Asmussen, who sends out Great Mills in addition to Unbridled’s Note, while pointing out that a horse’s draw can be rendered meaningless by an eventful start. “The thing about post position is that a lot of the time you feel a different about things right after they break.”
Take a long and hard look at reneesgotzip.......
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if you think it a joke than think twice , da hoss remmeber him , he burned the field
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this may be the biggest joke thinking california flag has any chance at eight and has been through for a few years ,,this is like thinking babe ruth was going to hit 60 home runs for the boston red sox after the yankees got rid of him,,total joke and the joke will be on those who think this horse has any chance at all...
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Good betting race here. Not as many longshot opportunities as most the other breeders cups. One of the 7-10 race worth making a sizeable wager. my handle will be down at least 50%
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Best Bets
MOST HAPPY FELLA, reclaimed from last, drops to easier spot after setting pressured pace vs. odds-on Pinball; both wins last year came on this track. ARTIE LUVSTO PARTY has a knack for surprises, with three lifetime wins coming at 33-1, 17-1 & 11-1 (two on this track); entrymate EQUIVOCATION gets major rider switch first off a claim. PURE ATTITUDE among top 3 in wins & earnings and snug fit to date clause.
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