04/06/2006 11:00PM

Bluegrass Babies for Sunday, Mar. 9

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Welcome to Bluegrass Babies! Each racing day during the Keeneland Spring Meeting, I'll crunch the statistics of the juvenile races and give an analysis with top three selections. Let's get started.

Race 1
4 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight.
Purse $50,000
2-Year-Old fillies

1. Hello Miss Lady (Royal Anthem - Sun Brushed, by Broad Brush)
Foal date (Foal state): February 9 (Kentucky)
Auction history: $1,900 RNA (Keeneland January 2005)
Sire's race record: 6-12, $1.8M, multiple G1 turf winner
Sire's win percentage with 2yo firsters: 3% (1-30)
Dam's race record: 1-8, 50K, won routing
Dam's foal record: This is her first foal to race.
Trainer's 3-year record with 2yo firsters with Lasix in dirt sprints: 1-12 (8%), $1.08 ROI
Fun facts: Second dam (by Roberto) a half to British G3 winner Super Asset, multiple G1 winner Bates Motel, Grade 1 winner Hatim, and stakes-winner Emmaline (40K).

2. Summer News (Unusual Heat - Specialcircumstnce, by Native Prospector
Foal date (Foal state): January 19 (California)
Auction history: $12,000 (Barretts January 2005), Out (Washington September 2005), $80,000 (Barretts October 2005), Withdrawn (Barretts March 2006)
Sire's race record: 6-16, 142K, multiple stakes-winner, all wins on turf.
Sire's win percentage with 2yo firsters: 11% (4-37)
Dam's race record: Unraced
Dam's foal record: 4 runners, 2 winners
Trainer's 3-year record with 2yo firsters in dirt sprints: 2-14 (14%), $0.79 ROI
Fun facts: Second dam (by Olympiad King) was stakes-placed (42K).

3. Luvemeinyourdreams (Deerhound - To Victor With Luv, by Travelling Victor)
Foal date (Foal state): April 20 (Kentucky)
Auction history: None
Sire's race record: 3-5, 35K
Sire's win percentage with 2yo firsters: 8% (8-103)
Dam's race record: 3-17, 19K, all wins sprinting.
Dam's foal record: 2 runners, 2 winners, 2 juvenile runners, 1 juvenile winner.
Trainer's 3-year record with 2yo firsters in dirt sprints: 0-14.
Fun facts: Second dam (by Staff Writer) was multiple stakes-winner (76K).

4. Glory Nekia (Honour and Glory - Tourney, by Forty Niner)
Foal date (Foal state): February 19 (Kentucky)
Auction history: $67,000 (Keeneland November 2004), $52,000 RNA (Fasig-Tipton 2005).
Sire's race record: 6-17, $1.2M, 2-4 at 2, won debut, G1 winner.
Sire's win percentage with 2yo firsters: 12% (24-207)
Dam's race record: G2-placed at 2, won debut.
Dam's foal record: 2 runners, 2 winners, 1 juvenile runner.
Trainer's 3-year record with 2yo firsters with Lasix in dirt sprints: 0-6
Fun facts: Dam half to stakes-winner Rail (255K, won debut at 2).

5. Richwoman(Successful Appeal - Richbabe, by Richman)
Foal date (Foal state): March 4 (Florida)
Auction history: None
Sire's race record: 8-22, 654K, 3-6 at 2, 7 sprint wins, multiple G2 winner.
Sire's win percentage with 2yo firsters: 26% (11-42)
Dam's race record: multiple juvenile stakes-winner (98K)
Dam's foal record: 1 runner, 0 winners, 1 juvenile runner.
Trainer's 3-year record with 2yo firsters with Lasix in dirt sprints: 79-365 (22%), $2.11 ROI.
Fun facts: Dam is half to juvenile stakes-placed Fortunate Bebe (23K), multiple juvenile stakes-placed Tioga (81K), and multiple juvenile stakes-winner Bluegrass Sara (153K).
Barn had multiple juvenile debut winners at this meet in 2005.

6. Salty Talker(Salt Lake - Non Stop Talker, by Arctic Tern)
Foal date (Foal state): March 1 (Kentucky)
Auction history: None
Sire's race record: 7-21, 536K, 4-9 at 2, won debut, all wins sprinting, G1 winner.
Sire's win percentage with 2yo firsters: 17% (55-219)
Dam's race record: Unraced.
Dam's foal record: 4 runners, 4 winners, 3 juvenile runners, 1 juvenile winner, 1 juvenile debut winner.
Trainer's 3-year-record with 2yo firsters with Lasix in dirt sprints: 2-29 (7%), $1.29 ROI
Fun facts: Trainer sent out juvenile debut winner Gallant Secret (14-1 odds) to win during the 2004 Keeneland spring meet. Dam half to French stakes-winner Senora Tippy (160K).

7. Carson City Angel (Carson City - Angel Kisses, by Private Account)
Foal date (Foal state): February 20 (Kentucky)
Auction history: $4,700 (Keeneland September 2005)
Sire's race record: 6-15, 306K, 2-5 at 2, won debut, multiple G2 winner, all wins sprinting.
Sire's win percentage with 2yo firsters: 19% (74-390)
Dam's race record: 0-6
Dam's foal record: 5 runners, 2 winners, 3 juvenile runners
Trainer's 3-year-record with 2yo firsters in dirt sprints: 0-3
Fun facts: Dam cost $350,000 as yearling, and is a half-sister to G3 turf winner Drachma. Dam is a full sister to British G2-placed juvenile Swiss Affair, and Grade 1 winner Corporate Report.

8. Shesadreamcatcher (Yonaguska - Ersatz, by Clever Trick)
Foal date (Foal state): February 21 (Kentucky)
Auction history: $28,000 (Keeneland November 2004), $34,000 RNA (Fasig Tipton July 2005).
Sire's race record: 6-18, 536K, 3-7 at 2, won debut, all wins sprinting, G1 winner.
Sire's win percentage with 2yo firsters: 0% (0-1)
Dam's race record: Unraced.
Dam's foal record: 7 runners, 3 winners, 5 juvenile runners, 1 juvenile winner, 1 juvenile debut winner.
Blacktype foal: Sultry Substitute (by Sultry Song): multiple G2-placed, 3 of 4 wins routing.
Trainer's 3-year-record with 2yo firsters with Lasix in dirt sprints: 8-52 (15%), $2.58 ROI.
Fun facts: Dam half to G3 route winner Spur Wing, and stakes-winner Make Change (506K, 2-2 at 2).

9. She Came Home (Came Home - Show Me the Stage, by Slew the Surgeon)
Foal date (Foal state): March 15 (Kentucky)
Auction history: $140,000 RNA (Keeneland September 2005)
Sire's race record: 9-12, $1.8M, 3-4 at 2, won debut, multiple G1 winner.
Sire's win percentage with 2yo firsters: This is his first starter.
Dam's race record: Multiple G3 winner, 13 of 14 wins sprinting, 5-9 at 2.
Dam's foal record: 1 runner, 0 winners.
Trainer's 3-year-record with 2yo firsters in dirt sprints: 5-27 (19%), $3.41 ROI.
Fun facts: Second dam (by Defense Verdict) a juvenile stakes-winner (won debut, earned 173K).

10. Carson's Dane (Carson City - Silken Sash, by Danehill)
Foal date (Foal state): February 19 (Kentucky)
Auction history: None
Sire's race record: 6-15, 306K, 2-5 at 2, won debut, multiple G2 winner, all wins sprinting.
Sire's win percentage with 2yo firsters: 19% (74-390)
Dam's race record: 1-8 in Europe, won sprinting on grass, 0-1 on all-weather.
Dam's foal record: This is her first foal.
Trainer's 3-year-record with 2yo firsters in dirt sprints: 10-29 (34%), $2.22 ROI.
Fun facts: Dam cost 175,000 Irish guineas. Second dam (by Fairy King) was juvenile stakes-winner in Ireland.

11. Miss Aspen (Bianconi - Classical Code, by Lost Code)
Foal date (Foal state): March 26 (Kentucky)
Auction history: $5,000 (Keeneland September 2005)
Sire's race record: 3-12, 134K, 0-1 at 2, G2 winner in England.
Sire's win percentage with 2yo firsters: 9% (4-47)
Dam's race record: 0-8
Dam's foal record: 3 runners, 3 winners, 1 juvenile runner.
Trainer's 3-year-record with 2yo firsters in dirt sprints: 0-2.
Fun facts: Dam half to multiple stakes-placed Masse' (115K).

12. Abbyroar (Forestry - Madame Roar, by Roar)
Foal date (Foal state): April 25 (New York)
Auction history: Out (Keeneland September 2005)
Sire's race record: 7-11, 591K, G1 winner
Sire's win percentage with 2yo firsters: 14% (9-66)
Dam's race record: multiple stakes-winner (251K), 1-6 at 2, won debut, all wins sprinting.
Dam's foal record: This is her first foal.
Trainer's 3-year-record with 2yo firsters with Lasix in dirt sprints: 1-13 (8%), $2.03 ROI
Fun facts: Dam cost $43,000 as yearling. Second dam (by Ogygian) is half to G2-placed juvenile Blue Garter and French G1-placed juvenile Riverbride

Analysis:


CARSON'S DANE is by precocious sire, and debuts for high-percentage connections. Worked quickly out of the gate here five days ago, and attracts top young rider. RICHWOMAN is bred for speed on the top of his pedigree, and Asmussen is one of the best with firsters. SHE CAME HOME is by promising young sire out of high-class mare. CARSON CITY ANGEL is bred for speed on top, but dam has disappointed with her foals. SHESADREAMCATCHER is bred both sides for speed, and debuts for solid barn. GLORY NEKIA'S work mate ran 11th on opening day.

Picks:

1. Carson's Dane
2. Richwoman
3. She Came Home

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