01/12/2018 10:49AM

Bergman: Examining the $28,786 Friday Pick 5 carryover at The Meadowlands


After a week hiatus and time to reflect, the Meadowlands Pick 5 carryover is upon us on Friday night. The $28,786.67 starter comes with a $125,000 guarantee in races 3 through 7 on the card with a first post slated for 6:30 p.m.

The Pick 5 at 50 cents a ticket is an interesting wager made more alluring by the prospect of a huge payoff. On Friday Racing Secretary Peter Koch has done perhaps too good a job assembling fields, with three trotting races among the five and one of those for non-winners with many showing the potential to break stride.

As in all multiple race wagers, the expense can get overwhelming especially if you have to back up your selections with additional horses, as should be the case with anyone attempting to take down the pool and tiptoe through challenging trotting races.

That said, nothing ventured and nothing gained, and we’ve set out to make a $96 play pared down from an original $300-plus adventure. Regardless of the carryover there just isn’t enough incentive to go deeper.

In race three, a non-winners affair for bottom level pacing mares, we’re hoping that class will prevail. When you get to the basement at the Meadowlands you have to match what may be $5,000 claimers with horses worth twice as much. This event is for optional $10,000 claimers and that’s where we’ll start with (3) CASA MIASA. The Saratoga shipper caught a tough night for her Meadowlands debut in December and was a little flat. Prior to that she jogged in a 1:54 1/5 effort over the half-miler and now lands inside with Brett Miller. Joining her on our ticket is (6) MOJARRA HANOVER. Now 11, Mojarra Hanover is a veteran of the mile track and is generally quite reliable at a level of this magnitude.

Race 4 is the first of the three trotting events and the nature of this non-winners of 2 suggests the need for three horses in addition to the likely odds-on choice (6) RECEIVERSHIP. The now 4-year-old Receivership broke as a 1-2 favorite in his debut for trainer Jenn Bongiorno. The altered son of Chapter Seven surprised many people when he qualified in 1:54 the week before. Nevertheless this gelding has only eight lifetime starts and sported some impressive closing efforts on the half-mile track before joining with Bongiorno. If Receivership minds his manners he’ll be tough to beat. If he doesn’t, we’re going for coverage from (2) PRESIDENTE ZETTE, (7) BREAK FREE and (9) IM DONE. That threesome has shown enough to get in the picture should the favorite falter.

Race 5 is another we find challenging and in need of multiple options if the ticket is going to survive through leg five. There should be support for (4) CAULFIELD, a horse that has shown speed while dropping in class for the successful duo of driver Jimmy Marohn Jr. and trainer Patti Harmon. (6) TWO HIP DIP looked like a future FFA Trotter a few years back for Nick Salenetri. He was a solid horse in the winter of 2015 and perhaps his two qualifiers off the shelf give rise to a successful comeback. (8) NEW JERSEY VIKING and (10) LONG STORY SHORT can’t be ruled out.

Fortunately we feel confident in just two selections for race 6. (10) FREE SHOW has enough back class to overcome the tough draw while (1) KEYSTONE WISH should welcome the move to the inside.

Race 7 is the final leg and the chalk players would appear to be correct in placing (5) P L ICABOD and (6) WATKINS on their tickets. Brett Miller made his choice between the two P L ICABOD, perhaps off the improved draw, because the veteran has been notably camera shy. WATKINS may have more of a class edge against these. (4) ALEXANDER HANOVER could be a sleeper in this group with Anthony Napolitano driving for trainer Mike Watson. He had no chance in his Meadowlands debut but was competitive at Harrah’s Philadelphia.

The complete Pick 5 Ticket looks like this:

3,6 / 2,6,7,9 / 4,6,8,10 / 1,10 / 4,5,6 = $96