10/11/2011 3:32PM

Belmont: Carryover chase will depend on weather

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ELMONT, N.Y. – Pebbles Stakes winner Elusive Pearl was the only favorite to get the job done in Monday’s pick six at Belmont, resulting in a two-day carryover of $102,902 as racing resumes Thursday.

With a good chance for rain Wednesday, and four of the races scheduled for turf, handicappers may have to make a number of race-day adjustments depending on the weather.

The pick six begins with race 4, post time scheduled for 2:35 p.m. Eastern.

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Race 4: If this maiden special-weight winds up on the main track, D’oro Princess becomes the one to beat, though Splendid made up a lot of ground on a deep sloppy rail closing day at Saratoga, and Double is top-rated with a 418 Tomlinson number for off going. Otherwise, a handful of these fillies have interchangeable peak turf figures, with Passionate Gold – formerly trained by Jimmy Toner and now with Todd Pletcher – likely to vie for favoritism with Striking Wonder, who showed promise in two starts for Toner in the spring.

Race 5: Who’s live? Who knows? Pick six bettors – and early pick four bettors, for that matter – must fly on instruments through this 2-year-old maiden minefield scheduled for turf. If it’s on dirt, main-track-only Think I’m Hooked will get leaned on heavily after a fair-to-middling effort with blinkers on. Otherwise, Synthesizer (a Beyer Speed Figure of 67 last time out), Image of Disco (Beyer of 64), Sleepy Freud (62) and even Win for the Zipper (59) are plausible suspects off their initial grass races. That could be academic, however, because there are six first-time starters. Two of them are from Chad Brown, including Big City Boy, whose half-sister Jenny’s So Great earned more than $350,000 on turf.

Race 6: Those Lion Eyes is the one to catch and beat from the rail, but the other half of the Flying Zee Stable entry, Lady Vi, has Ryan Curatolo named as well, so only one will start. The stretch-running Lady On the Run and the just-claimed Stellaluce are logical threats. The X-factor is No More Stress, who makes her first start in more than 17 months for Richard Dutrow Jr.

Race 7: Bettors can probably get away with just My Piano Man, Settle for Medal, and Skinny Peter if this restricted claimer is rained off the Widener turf. Otherwise, serious spread tickets in this free-for-all would include Zaahy, Staff Sargeant, Adam Rides Again, Binks Forest, and Medieval Sword.

Race 8: Rigby has won 4 of 5 on dirt in blinkers, but the $64 question is whether he’s ready first time out since late March. If he’s a race short, the trio of Distant Sky, Cinder Cone, and Zimmer are closely matched off their recent dirt form.

Race 9: If you’ve made it this far, a 12-horse “beaten” claimer scheduled for turf is the cash-out leg. Far Isle, wide pressing the pace in a sprint first time back from a freshening, is the likely choice stretching back out for Gary Contessa. Glore Racer and Cass aren’t far behind, however,and either could benefit if Far Isle is hard-pressed early.