Updated on 09/15/2011 1:09PM

Belmont analysis for 10/05

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BEST BET: ROBBIE'S ROCKIN (4TH RACE)

FIRST RACE

1. Belongs Fast 2. Chessie 3. Ima Halo

BELONGS FAST was a two-time winner at Belmont's spring meet, but may have been on a deep rail when returned to this surface Sept. 26 - a day when all but one winner on the main track raced outside; back to price claimed for Aug. 12 when she outfinished AUTHENTIC CALLER for second. CHESSIE returns to Bel and switches back to Davis, who was aboard for win here May 9; may wind up the pacesetter by default. IMA HALO lagged behind a very slow pace and was able to overtake a weak field of $20K routers at Sar last month; shoulders 123 pounds.

SECOND RACE

1. Young Star 2. Spectacular Place 3. Brazoom

YOUNG STAR has been head-and-head for the lead at the pace call in her last three starts, the latest a good second as the lukewarm favorite when dropped to this level; may hang on vs. these. SPECTACULAR PLACEchased allowance repeater (and Frizette hopeful) Cherokee Girl before giving way into the stretch of debut back in July; barn off to fine start. BRAZOOM is a half-sister to five winners, two of which won as juveniles; sharp half-mile work from the gate Sept. 23.

THIRD RACE

1. Draw Play 2. Listen Here 3. Papua

The last time DRAW PLAY raced on a fast track at Bel, he was a game second to the multiple stakes winner Buster's Daydream in the Tremont; freshened since chasing in muddy Sanford, bullets for return. LISTEN HERE was bet strongly for unveiling at Sar, and justified the support with an on-the-pace score; nicely drawn. PAPUA improved trainer's already outstanding first-out stats by running down favored Red's Red in a state-bred sprint Sept. 20; award extra credit if track is wet again.

FOURTH RACE

1. Robbie's Rockin 2. World Title 3. Hamanjiz

ROBBIE'S ROCKIN finished gamely to miss second by a nose at 35-1 when switched to turf vs. open company at Sar; similar effort should be enough to graduate vs. New York-bred rivals. WORLD TITLE has turf influences on both sides of pedigree; ships in from Maryland for dangerous outfit. HAMANJIZ raced wide behind FINALITY in their Sept. 20 meeting on wet main track; half-brother to five turf winners may be able to reverse that decision as they both switch to the grass.

FIFTH RACE

1. Omit The Dividend 2. Make My Millenium 3. MazaahamOMIT THE DIVIDEND broke slowly, steadied far turn, and lacked room through stretch when nosed for third in an eventful Sept. 8 bow; gets some additional real estate to work with. MAKE MY MILLENIUM middle moved and could only manage to finish evenly when favored for second try; gained useful experience with "off" turf in Sar debut. MAZAAHAM was far back early, and made up a lot of ground when second to 2-5 repeater Sandlot Star in an improved effort Aug. 29.

SIXTH RACE

1. Perfect Design 2. Slews Final Answer 3. Wopping

PERFECT DESIGN has made progress with each race, climaxed by determined maiden score with Lasix added; stretches out. SLEWS FINAL ANSWER slipped through along the inside and outgamed 3-2 favorite Regal And Fleet in promising debut; main threat. WOPPING stalked from close range three wide to graduate in a high-priced claimer Sept. 19, and may get a similar trip, albeit in a tougher spot, first time in vs. winners.

SEVENTH RACE

1. Malagash 2. No White Flags 3. Winloc's Nelson

MALAGASH raced wide first time in entry-level allowance condition; may rebound at 1 1/4 miles for outstanding long-distance turf barn, meets field containing a lot of "1-for-life" types. NO WHITE FLAGS has been in the money all four trips in N1X spots, usually taking the overland route; maiden win came this course & distance. WINLOC'S NELSON stalked the leader while in hand, responded when roused to quickly draw clear off the surface switch Aug. 30; appears to have found a home on grass.

EIGHTH RACE

1. City West 2. Presente Senor 3. Green Fee

CITY WEST rallied willingly, but was at too much of a tactical disadvantage when even-money stakes winner Strategic Mission was allowed his

own way on the lead at Sar on Aug. 8; ambitiously spotted in Atto Mile last out. PRESENTE SENOR also emerges from a graded stakes attempt; allowance winner on this course at 20-1 two starts back with The Mig aboard. GREEN FEE looms a strong threat off his fine comeback win Sept. 7, but may prefer firmer footing than he will get on Friday.

NINTH RACE

1. Running Copelan 2. Norton Street 3. Dixielander

RUNNING COPELAN was bumped at break, moved up along the inside and outfinished ZI PEP for second off a five-week absence earlier at the meet; might improve a bit second time over the track. NORTON STREET was in the money all four starts during the summer, notably a good-figure win at this distance here July 12 return; led every step but the last when 6-5 most recently. DIXIELANDER was a close second at 37-1 to begin current form cycle Sept. 7, and then was roughed up at the start vs. top pick two weeks later; two aluminum pads come off.

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