09/19/2001 11:00PM

Bay Meadows analysis for 9/22

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Best Bet: WORTHY DEED (3rd race)

First Race

1. NATURAL STYLE 2. AMERICAN SPEED 3. IDLE SALUTE

Can NATURAL STYLE hold together for one more? This lighly-raced colt humiliated them at the start of the meet off a lengthy vacation and was prompted claimed by one good trainer from another. Baze stays put. AMERICAN SPEED surprised them at 26-1 off a so-so maiden victory, so obviously something has gotten into this guy since going 0-for-9 to to begin his career. Will be waiting in the wings behind the top choice. IDLE SALUTE dug in to get the job done with similar over slightly less ground and figures in the mix again.

Second Race

1. BIG AL T 2. TIMELY WEAVE 3. RISKY TWILIGHT

BIG AL T returns to the Bay Area with some ugly Del Mar lines in tow, but you can draw a line through the router and this drop in class could do wonders for his outlook. The fact that R Muscle takes the call indicates he may still have something left in the tank, and at least they don't go all the way to the bottom. TIMELY WEAVE has been on the bench since the spring, but figures to be putting in a solid late move under these conditions. Wants more distance for his best, however. RISKY TWILIGHT has been showing good speed in tougher starter affairs since escaping So Cal and would be no surprise on the front end with this suspect group.

Third Race

1. WORTHY DEED 2. GENERAL RULE 3. CAVISH

WORTHY DEED must be passing under a ladder on the way to the track these days, as he comes off back-to-back tough beats over this course. Two back, he looked like a stone-cold winner when he opened up at the furlong pole, only to be nailed on the line, and then last time he won the photo but lost the war after some stretch brushing. No mistakes this time as he sits a cozy tracking trip. GENERAL RULE exploded late to take a starter contest going once around on the main track, and there's no reason the son of General Meeting shouldn't be able to transfer that form to the lawn. He seems much improved of late. CAVISH was no threat on the green earlier in the year, but is worth giving another chance at a hint of a price today.

Fourth Race

1. SIBERIAN PARADOX 2. ITALIAN WINE 3. FUNKY HABIT

Guessing that SIBERIAN PARADOX is a live commodity at first asking with Fresh Frank in what looks to be a pretty lackluster dash. The last Albany move from the gate gives some encouragement, and a nice appearance and a bit of tote action would upgrade the opinion. ITALIAN WINE was nothing more than a bystander in that straight maiden race at Pleasanton, but they've regrouped now and the move into claimingville figures to help the cause. FUNKY HABIT has been a low-odds disappointment so far, but this looks like the softest assignment yet, while SHAKE'EM UP is probably the one to catch.

Fifth Race

1. FLORISELLI 2. KRISRISEN 3. AR JAY

FLORISELLI came out of his year-long coma to roll over a similar field here three weeks ago and figures to get even more help up front to set up his closing charge. There was a time when this guy was competitive with some of the best grass runners around, and somebody seems to have reminded him of that fact recently. KRISISRISEN is as tough as they come, finding a great home over the grass, and when he was snapped off by the top choice in his last it was his first setback over the local green in four attempts. He'll once again have first jump and could easily turn the tables. AR JAY got eligible to this starter league by wiring an easier group over this carpet at the start of the month, and he just might take another if he sneak away in the opening furlongs.

Sixth Race

1. WILD CELEBRATION 2. GREAT QUEST 3. COCONUT MANGO

WILD CELEBRATION chased home a pretty rugged group in the debut down at Del Mar last month and has worked nicely for Morey since shifting his act. Give him the nod in a race where you can any number of ways and there should be plenty of value. GREAT QUEST makes his introduction for a barn that knows how to send them out ready to rock and roll, and it will be interesting to see how much this Bonde-Gonzo production attracts. COCONUT MANGO is the proven commodity, as he turned in a solid try at first asking with Alvarado and has come back to work smartly at his Pleasanton base in the interim.

Seventh Race

1. MOVING DAZE 2. PRINCE FORLEE 3. SNOWSHOE FLYER

No fooling around with the firster MOVING DAZE, as Lonnie A. elects to start this 4-year-old at the bottom and has attracted Baze to ride. He won't have to be much to earn a diploma in this league. PRINCE FORLEE shipped in from Phoenix and nearly pulled off a similar race after being on the sidelines for four months. With a clean break and/or a straight course that evening, he would have had his picture taken. SNOWSHOE FLYER outran his odds for a good second in the local bow and has to be considered with anything near a repeat.

Eighth Race

1. SUPER QUERCUS 2. TAKARIAN 3. SIGN OF HOPE

SUPER QUERCUS is capable of an expolosive late move, and even though the pace here figures to be on the slow side, giving Frankel's interloper the call with Baze for his introduction to the course. After competing in the Read and Del Mar 'Cap off a respite, he should be ready for his best stuff in the third start of the current form cyle. TAKARIAN holds the pace advantage over his esteemed rival and should be real tough here with Gomez coming up for the assignment. Quite a few horses didn't handle that bog of a course in the Arlington Million, including Bienamado, and this guy has any number of efforts that make him very dangerous over a layout where he has already proven himself. SIGN OF HOPE has been away since Nov., but Drysdale is one of the best at bringing them back ready. He has a touch of class and Mr. Solis aboard.

Ninth Race

1. DOWN THE RIVER 2. MODUS VIBLAIRSKI 3. FIREINTHEMEADOW

DOWN THE RIVER battled and faded in that last miler, but it's back to the short game now and she could find herself dropping into a gorgeous stalking position. Banking on this one to do best when push comes to shove. MODUS VIBLAIRSKI showed a new dimension when she came from off the pace last time, and that effort gives encouragement. FIREINTHEMEADOW has missed a ton of chances at this level but will get there one of these days, while we may not be giving GLEEFUL GOSSIP enough respect off that game try on a pace battle two weeks ago.

Tenth Race

1. DRIVEN FORCE 2. ISH KABISH 3. MARKER DOWN

For the level, this race came up pretty tough. DRIVEN FORCE took a dip to the basement and came away with a nice confidence builder, and he could be set for an encore up front with Carr. ISH KABISH moved to a lifetime low for his last and did the old track-and-attack to the delight of the chalkplayers, and he's obviously tough right back with the similar placing. MARKER DOWN was no match for a runaway victor last time, but he's a good fit with these.