Updated on 09/15/2011 1:02PM

Bay Meadows analysis for 9/19

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Best Bet: Anniversary Year (6th)

First Race

1. MYSTIC IMAGE 2. BARGAIN BETTY 3. STORM OF THE NILE

MYSTIC IMAGE was just a bystander when overmatched in that stakes race during the fair, but returns for the July purchase price now and gets the call. A repeat of that Santa Rosa maidenbreaker should be good enough. BARGAIN BETTY has done a major turnaround since catching the van out of So Cal and joining forces with Mr. Baze. No easy leads this time around, but have to respect her off that last laugher. STORM OF THE NILE showed some gameness getting the diploma at Pleasanton for Hollendorfer, while EXCELLENTLY is realistically placed off her hard-earned decision over this track.

Second Race

1. SIERRA SILENCE 2. GOLDEN DISCOVERY 3. TREATHERLIKEALADY

No shortage of angles with SIERRA SILENCE in this bottom-level maiden seller. She's finished both of her races faster than she started them, including a troubled near-miss up at Cal Expo, so the added distance figures to work in her favor. The switch to R Muscle seals the deal. GOLDEN DISCOVERY flattened out in the first start since shipping up for Lage, but now they drop all the way down now and she just might find herself the speed of this paceless cast on the stretchout. TREATHERLIKEALADY has the advantage of two-turn experience over the top selections and gets the softest assignment to date.

Third Race

1. MOUNTAIN FLAG 2. SOLO STANDARD 3. MY HERITAGE

That high heat MOUNTAIN FLAG has been throwing in those tougher events could easily translate into a coast-to-coast outing with this return to the claiming ranks. No Kiss an Angel or Dudley to worry about now, and Baze makes his first appearance since guiding this guy to his debut romp. SOLO STANDARD was likewise overmatched in the stakes at Pleasanton after picking up his diploma with a price attached and the feeling is you can draw a line right through the effort. This pilot did the graduation honors. MY HERITAGE cashed in on the Del Mar-to-San Mateo angle to finally get over the hump last month, and this would seem to be a very realistic placing with Fresh Frank taking Oviedo's runner right back.

Fourth Race

1. AUSSIE GIRL 2. SANICH LADY 3. ANGEL'S TOUCH

You can go any number of ways in this six-pack. AUSSIE GIRL hasn't seen the starter since being claimed way back in April at Hollypark, but notice they bring her back for the same price when they could have easily been offering a discount off the respite. She would appear to be the best finisher if she comes back anywhere near the same distaffer. Koriner is playing a little poker with SANICH LADY, who has been firing nothing but bullets and has shown that the once-around tour is within her range. ANGEL'S TOUCH doesn't need any help finding the winner's circle and will no doubt be attempting a theft on the stretchout, while SLEWREEN should get the right trip but keeps on promising more than she delivers.

Fifth Race

1. BRITE LIES 2. B. FABULOUS 3. FOREVER RITA

No more fooling around with BRITE LIES, who is lowered to the basement in hopes of reviving her career. Don't know what the heck happened in that last one, when she checked sharply and was right out of the race as the chalk, but we're guessing she still has enough left in the tank to handle this group for the Dynamic Duo. If she's completely shot, B. FABULOUS may be in line for the hat trick. She's improving with every start and absolutely blitzed that admittedly weak group to start the meet. The problem is, if the top filly fires, she'll be right on her case from the get-go, instead of that clear lead she enjoyed in that last one. FOREVER RITA could find herself positioned in the garden spot behind the top pair if a duel develops as she moves down to an easier level.

Sixth Race

1. ANNIVERSARY YEAR 2. NICKLE OAKIE 3. WILD ADVOCATE

Martin has no illusions with ANNIVERSARY YEAR, wheeling him right back at the same level off the handy Sacramento score. The only six-time winner in the line-up is drawn outside the rival he has to worry about up front and should do the best work when push comes to shove. NICKLE OAKIE finished close by to the top choice last time and seems the most likely candidate to come along and pick up the exacta completion. WILD ADVOCATE may have started his career by going winless in 27 outings, but he's managed to take two of his last four with a solid late move and can certainly work his way into the picture again.

Seventh Race

1. REGAL LINES 2. MIDNIGHT SPECIAL 3. MILICIA

That was a different REGAL LINES we watched crush that field to start the meet, and even though this gal came up empty in the lone turf try, it was only the second start of her career and it appears as though she's turned the corner for Jenda. Giving her the call right back under new best friend Lopez. MIDNIGHT SPECIAL is getting her first chance on the grass and looks like a solid fit with this field. She's come up a bit punchless in the last two, but hoping the new surface will move her up and Baze can coax a better finish as Adalberto hops off for the top pick. MILICIA is still a maiden, but it hasn't been for lack of trying and a repeat of any number of those near-misses with straight maidens over this course put her right in the hunt.

Eighth Race

1. CAISSON 2. MOSCOW U. 3. OLD MIZZOU

Draw a line through the grass debacle and CAISSON figures a tough customer in this nitecap, which only drew a half-dozen but came up pretty contentious. A repeat of that starter allowance decision at this exact trip during the fair would certainly be good enough. MOSCOW U. ended up on the wrong end of a three-horse photo the other day while grinding away on the outside. The main concern is that the pace may be moderate and not play into his style, but he can probably sit a bit closer to the early action here. OLD MIZZOU is an interesting Del Mar interloper who was claimed from a solid miler down there two back. Had a slow takeoff and was in gear much too late in a subsequent sprint down there, but matches up very nicely with this field as he returns to the longer game.

- Editor's note - Mark Ratsky's Bay Meadows analysis, which is normally available only to drf.com subscribers, is being offered free of charge until Daily Racing Form can produce its full statistical and editorial product.