Updated on 09/15/2011 1:09PM

Bay Meadows analysis for 10/05

Email

Best Bet: DO THE SWEEP (4th race)

First Race

1. LUNETA DRIVE 2. CRAZY DREAMS 3. DEVILS TARGET

LUNETA DRIVE hasn't exactly been tearing up the tracks in the a.m. down south, but this Team Anson production won't have to be Tali'sluckybusride to get the job done in this league. Baze rides for insurance. CRAZY DREAMS ended up on the wrong end of the photo in her debut last month and is obviously a major player tonight. The rail can be a little tricky, but she showed enough in that one try to loom large with this group. DEVILS TARGET had some trouble going a shorter trip in her only appearance up at Emerald a month ago and helps make it difficult.

Second Race

1. PAZHALSTA 2. STRIKE THE CHORD 3. JOE HOLIDAY

You can make a solid case for every starter here. PAZHALSTA bit off a little more than he could chew after coming down from Emerald, and the slow start from the inside didn't help the cause. Moves to the cozy outside box in this compact line-up and should be much more at home with this group. STRIKE THE CHORD did a pretty rapid fade at Cal Expo, but that was a rougher gang and Gonzo could very well find himself dictating things without much company here. This gelding is certainly no stranger to wire-to-wire victories over this layout. JOE HOLIDAY took a dip for the Washington finale, tracked to the drive and then rolled by for a nice score. Was red-tagged by Coffey that day and looms large at the new venue under Matos.

Third Race

1. SPANISH PRISONER 2. GOLDEN SMILE 3. PINNACLE RIDGE

SPANISH PRISONER has missed more chances than the rest, but returns to the basement now and gets the timid vote. She should be able to drop into the perfect spot just behind the speed, and hopefully comes up with the needed punch this time. GOLDEN SMILE has been freshened by Josephson since the show finish at Santa Rosa after geting a very late start to her career. Have to give her a decent shot to take them coast-to-coast with Chad. PINNACLE RIDGE was up for a distant second in her only outing in Washington, but note it was another pretty good gap back to the rest of the field and those Apple State interlopers have been doing awfully well at this session.

Fourth Race

1. DO THE SWEEP 2. BEMSHA SWING 3. ACCELL

DO THE SWEEP has had a pretty solid season up to this point and gets Mr. Baze for the local introduction. For a sprint, this affair came up awfully short on speed, but banking on this one to stay in close enough proximity and then ignites when the real racing begins. BEMSHA SWING didn't break any course records handling that softer field the other day, but appears to have found a new home in this part of the state and may stand the raise with Alvarado on the re-call. ACCELL was little more than a bystander in that grass router last time, but go back a race and she's wiring them going a mile at Del Mar. The move down to a conditioned claimer will also agree with her. OUR KISSIN KATE is sharp now, but doesn't figure to get the help up front she needs to set up her charge at this shorter distance.

Fifth Race

1. CEE PEE 2. LION FROM ZION 3. AKIN BREAKIN'

Like the improved speed and fight that CEE PEE showed in her second outing at the meet for Fresh Frank. It was quite aways back to the next runner that afternoon and he looks to be sitting on a score in a race for maidens-once-removed that actually came up pretty contentious. LION FROM ZION returned to the short game and overpowered a bottom-level field for the diploma and would be no surprise right back. With Alvarado sticking with the top choice, R Muscle takes the assignment. AKIN BREAKIN' did a crash and burn at Fairplex after exchanging blows at the break, but go back a race and there's an effort over that bullring that puts the 3-year-old right in the picture with this line-up. He'll be tracking from the outside slot.

Sixth Race

1. J VIVENDI 2. HARLAN'S PLEASURE 3. FASTASUCAN

J VIVENDI is a major question mark here. On the one hand, she's been running hard for some time and comes off two severe brake jobs down south. Those who see the cup as half full will not she hails from a sharp barn, gets some much needed class relief and has done extremely well on her previous trips to the Bay Area. Keeping our fingers crossed that she has something left in the tank and can handle these from close range. HARLAN'S PLEASURE closed out the Emerald campaign with a tough best for this same tag, and from what we've seen, that form equates nicely with the same levels down here. She figures to be right on top of things from the get-go. FASTASUCAN is blanking in 16 trips to the post this season, but the local return was encouraging and some early patience could pay off if things get too heated in the opening furlongs.

Seventh Race

1. MISS TERASITA 2. MOST OF ALL 3. ANAZEHA

The fact that Baze signs up aboard the comebacking MISS TERASITA

instead of handling either of Hollendorfer's runners sends us in her direction. Even though Shoemaker's miss has done her best work routing, she has a nice kick at this journey and the last two works over at the Gate have been exceptionally smart. MOST OF ALL and GHOSTLY VALLEY make up the stong King Jerry coupling. The former could only nibble at Arlington Park, but she's a real nice fit under these conditions, being a five-time victress in a Nw1 allowance. GHOSTLY VALLEY did what she had to on the front end to graduate in her only start during the fair, and her speed compliments the late kick of her stablemate. SISTER ADIBA has some versatily in her corner and will benefit by the last one, while ANAZEHA has the usual strong Ross works in tow.

Eighth Race

1. SOUTH CITY SLEW 2. SUSIE'S DAY 3. BISCAY BAY

SOUTH CITY SLEW didn't seem to appreciate that body blow at the start in her last one and came up punchless in the drive, but returns to the level of her two solid previous outings and gets the nod in this nitecap. Alvarado will have her pushing the pace. SUSIE'S DAY teamed nicely with Baze to eek out the victory after a poor takeoff in her first one down from Emerald. They have no illusions as they wheel the sophomore right back at the same level. BISCAY BAY continues to move down the class ladder in hopes of reviving her career, while DELEA arrives here in sharp form and has to be respected.

Subscribers, to purchase Past Performances.


Non-subscribers, to purchase Past Performances.