09/17/2012 4:25PM

Balmoral: Wednesday 9/19 Analysis


Best Bet: IM TELLING YOU (2nd)     Spot Play: CLASSY CHASSY (9th)

Race 1

(5) MYSTICAL EMOTION has yet to visit the winners circle this year, but does appear to stay flat.  Filly is facing a soft field with a bunch of trotters who show breaks.  (2) DIVINATION 2yr old filly facing older, but has the talent.  She has had some time off, but has won the most money of the field in her short career; just needs to stay flat.  (1) FASHION GLIDE 2yr old Yankee glide filly is one of few who doesn't show a break.  She has a good post, and should be in a great spot turning for home in this wide open race.

Race 2

(9) I'M TELLING YOU takes a significant class drop, and appears to be the one to beat.  Tell All filly is versatile and should leave for position.  (8) MADE TO BE also is dropping in class, and needs the horses on the front to mix it up for best chance; should be rolling late.  (6) SO SHOE ME is coming off a very disappointing performance, and I suspect a change of tactics this race; contender.

Race 3

(8) MR HANS has the fastest mark of the field, and owns a win in this class on 8-29.  Gelding likes to be on the lead, and could benefit with a slow pace.  (9) PARK LANE HERO is coming off two excellent efforts at Maywood.  Gelding shows good gate speed and could be in line for a stalking trip; contender.  (5) FRONTIER SCOUT is coming off a scratch, but shows some good miles.  Gelding gets a good driver change and post to work with.  A fast pace would help break his maiden.

Race 4

(1A) TROT FUDGE SUNDAE has had sweet success this year winning 6 of her 7 starts.  2yr old filly likes to be on the lead and will be a very short price.  (7) LITTLE MS CHRISSY comes off an impressive qualifier, but is saddled with the worst post.  If the filly stays flat she could be the only threat to the top choice.  (1) BULL SPREADER is coming off a solid effort for top trotting trainer; could get a good stalking trip.

Race 5

(6) CG'S SERIOUS 2yr old filly has been very consistent this year.  On paper she looks to be a few seconds faster than the field; short price. (1) CASINO COMP had an excellent effort coming from a tough spot last start.  Finds post relief and will be much closer to the pace; needs more.  (2) JENNA W RIVNDEL is in a good spot to get a check.  She has a great post and should shake lose late; use underneath.

Race 6

(4) POWERFUL POE has two wins in a row over a quality opponent.  Gelding will be forwardly placed off the gate; expect a good effort.  (6) SEMPER FIT well bred 2yr old colt was outstanding last start.  He is posted outside but with his gate speed will be on the front.  (2) LONGWELL is a lightly well bred trotter who's making his 3rd start of the year.  The connections certainly know how to get a young trotter ready and this is no different; live long shot.  (3) DREAMS OF THUNDER had a nice effort last out and is in a much better spot to do some damage.

Race 7

(2) FULL STEAM AHEAD gelding has a tendency to be the runner up.  He finds a soft spot but will need to hold on late.  (6) NJ'S GO JOHNNY GO is coming off three excellent efforts in a row.  He shows excellent closing ability and should be pacing up a storm late.  (7) BRIEF'S BOY 3yr old gelding gets a touch of post relief and has good late kick.  Should a fast pace materialize up front, he could fly past everyone.

Race 8

(9) ITSABOUTTONIGHT put in an excellent effort while facing tougher last out.  Filly likes to win and will only have a few to hold off.  (3) MOST HAPPY TELLER has been a new horse since the private purchase.  If the talented Tell All filly minds her manners she will be right on the money.  (2) ALWAYS A CHEATER gets a great post to work from, needs a smooth trip and a fast pace.

Race 9

(4) CLASSY CHASSY owns good gate speed and is coming off a solid effort.  Trotting mare could benefit from a better post; best chance if covered up.  (9) GILLY HO appears to be rounding into form after having some time off.  Gelding will need to leave for position for best chance; contender.  (1) SWEET SHOW BIZ was parked the mile last out, but gets the rail tonight.  A ground saving trip with one move is the key to success with this long shot.

Race 10

(2) RATHBONE N was a heavy favorite last time out that was used hard.  This is the second start off the claim and should be a lot better; better off a helmet.  (1) GAR owns solid late kick and gets the best post.  Should any chaos develop look for him to be flying late.  (8) EQUINOX SEELSTER will be leaving for position and has been solid his last few starts.


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