07/29/2014 10:57AM

Balmoral: Wednesday 7/30 Analysis

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Race 6 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (31 - 52 / $129.00): STONEBRIDGE ULTIMO (3rd)

Spot Play: IMNOTASONOFABEACH (5th)

 

Race 1

(1) DALI DOWN well bred gelding was excellent in his second lifetime start and has tons of room to improve.  (5) DUPAGE'S Z TAM also went a big effort last out and looks to be a real nice 2-year-old.  (9) MR PEARL could be a sleeper in the field if the freshman pacer can find a way into the race.

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Race 2

In a really weak field (5) FLIGHT LIFTED has been facing better and gets a nice post with options.  (2) ARLO GRAM is coming along slowly but has yet to show his best effort; threat.  (1) DAVE'S ART will save ground before shaking loose late; use underneath.

Race 3

(5) STONEBRIDGE ULTIMO well bred 4-year-old trotter gets an enticing morning line and can get his picture taken with a similar effort to his qualifier.  (3) FOX VALLEY SKYLAR has no lifetime wins but has started to turn a corner and was ran down by a much better opponent last out.  (1) ACT OF VALOR gelding has been on the track five times this year and broke in three of them, however if he minds his manners he's probably the horse to beat.

Race 4

(1) SAND IN MY BIKINI doesn't look great on paper but did race much better at the track in his most recent start. The pacer will offer a big price and gets a good post to save some ground.  (4) MEGYN HOTSPUR probably should be considered the horse to beat but the pacer loves burning cash; use caution.  (7) BC'S FANCY DANCER gets a big driver change and has been racing gamely.

Race 5

In an excellent betting race (9) IMNOTASONOFABEACH was really good in his first start back off a long layoff and with some improvement will be tough to beat.  (8) YANKLET HANOVER well bred filly put in an eye-catching mile last out but does face better.  (6) ALWAYS TALKING should have been a winner last out at a huge price but the driver couldn't choose which way to go costing him.  The pacer now makes his first start for new connections and is a huge threat at a price.

Race 6

In another wide open and evenly matched race (7) RIDE SALLY  had no chance last out from a tough post but with some racing luck will be much closer turning for home.  (9) JOYFUL GAME has the best closing ability in the race and could be the main danger late.  (4) MY GIRL PIPPA adds lasix for the first time but could pull a big upset off some dull-looking lines with an effort like a few starts ago.

Race 7

(9) MASTER JEEVES gelding enters a red-hot barn and should improve greatly.  ( 7) RUSSELL L was sneaky good last out from a tough spot; threat.  (4) JO JO SPUR is always a threat at this level.

Race 8

(6) LOVERS HOLIDAY mare kicked home nicely last out finally showing some interest.  The 5-year-old also gets a positive driver change and will offer a big price in an inconsistent field.  (8) BLUE GEM has been better for the new connections and still could have more to offer.  (5) SAND TARYN went a huge effort last out and just needs a smooth trip from a provisional driver to hit the board.

Race 9

(9) SHISWELL'S DELIGHT takes a huge drop in for a tag and will be driven very aggressively.  (5) MAJESTIC ROYALE went a big trip first start in a new barn and looks ready to pace a big mile on the big track.  (3) ASHES N DUST was awesome last out just missing after getting no luck with poor cover; threat.

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