07/14/2014 3:24PM

Balmoral: Wednesday 7/16 Analysis

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Race 6 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet (26 - 46 / $108.40): ENCHANTRESS LADY (4th)

Spot Play: STRYKER (6th)

 

Race 1

(8) ON MY OWN is high risk high reward as the filly has more ability than the field if she stays pacing.  (1) BC'S FANCY DANCER was much improved last out for a new trainer and gets the best post; threat.  (2) MEGYN HOTSPUR has flashed a decent burst of speed and needed her last start.

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Race 2

(10) MAPLE GROVE JOE gets a huge driver change finds and a weak and inexperienced field.  (3) KY LUCKY gets sent out for connections that have had some nice first-time starters win recently.  The freshman trotter makes his debut off an excellent qualifier.  (6) FOX VALLEY SKYLAR has yet to win in twenty-five career attempts but has been improving steadily.

Race 3

(7) PARKLANE SPARKLE has slightly disappointed but this could be the spot to get back on track.  (6) GET THE TERROR is one of few threats in the race; versatile.  (3) WESTERN COWGIRL could be overplayed based on his last effort; use caution.

Race 4

(1) ENCHANTRESS LADY well bred mare was an impressive winner first out and should have much more to offer.  (4) SCAT KITTY CAT needed her first in over three years and has plenty of room to improve.  (2) POLARS BIG SPENDER has been competitive but would need much more to upset; use underneath.

Race 5

(8) ITSALLABOUTTONIGHT three-year-old has really stepped his game up in his last two efforts and can break his maiden with a smooth trip.  (5) ARLO GRAM lightly raced colt has some upside in a weak field.  (7) TIME MACHINE could be sitting on a good effort after a nice first lifetime start.

Race 6

(2) STRYKER went a huge effort last start racing gamely, being used multiple times.  A similar effort would make him tough to get by.  (3) BELL VALLEY ART makes his first start for new connections; big chance.  (1) JUSTLIVINTHEDREAM has not won a race in a very long time but has been knocking on the door; use underneath.

Race 7

(2) SATIN SLAYER veteran pacer has been super in his last two and finds an evenly matched field to do some damage.  (3) BABYSHOEBUYER mare closed a ton of ground last out and will be much closer turning for home.  (5) BLUE GEM got a victory against a softer bunch but could hit the ticket with a smooth trip.

Race 8

(7) CLASS STAR doesn't inspire the best confidence but finds a very inconsistent field and should offer a great price.  (4) SWAN PRINCESS has been facing much tougher competition but does have some breaking issues; threat.  (6) SWAN LIFE TO LIVE filly raced evenly last out and would need more to hit the top spot.

Race 9

(3) KITTY O'BRIEN has been racing gamely and is always a threat late with honest fractions to close into.  (1) MOON BAY DANCER looks to make it three straight but will offer a much lower price; use caution.  (5) CAMILLE ROSE rarely wins but is sharp showing pace on both ends of the mile.

 

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